This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–13 on winners spread MAE 9.6 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State +7.2 146.3 77% 67–88 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State +0.9 140.3 56% 50–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack +2.6 130.4 60% 57–55 ✗
Purdue @ Michigan -2.2 143.9 42% 68–86 ✗
East Carolina @ UAB +2.5 153.7 63% 77–94 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +2.2 134.5 62% 55–68 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +12.3 137.6 85% 51–69 ✓
Arizona @ Texas Tech +1.6 153.6 54% 86–80 ✗
Clemson @ Louisville -0.2 135.0 52% 73–76 ✗
UConn @ Creighton -2.5 141.5 39% 62–71 ✗
Boise State @ New Mexico +0.6 143.3 52% 72–69 ✗
Kentucky @ Alabama +3.2 175.9 68% 70–99 ✓
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +4.9 143.1 71% 66–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +9.8 156.6 82% 78–96 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State -1.9 141.9 50% 72–83 ✗
Maine @ Bryant +5.3 145.4 75% 59–79 ✓
Princeton @ Yale +8.4 145.9 80% 57–59 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn +2.5 139.9 55% 70–65 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +1.6 141.3 56% 77–74 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +0.2 143.7 49% 65–66 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ VCU +8.4 137.0 79% 55–62 ✓
Dartmouth @ Cornell +2.5 155.2 66% 71–87 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +8.1 146.0 79% 77–78 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason +0.4 131.7 50% 64–74 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland +3.7 144.1 68% 81–80 ✗
Alabama @ Florida +3.9 172.3 61% 82–104 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +3.4 134.7 68% 66–56 ✗
Boise State @ Colorado State -0.7 135.3 47% 56–69 ✗
Arizona @ Houston +5.2 134.3 74% 64–72 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's +8.8 146.5 83% 66–82 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +0.4 136.7 55% 63–49 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Akron +2.2 157.8 63% 74–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.