Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–8 on winners spread MAE 7.1 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State +0.6 151.5 55% 79–77 ✗
Alcorn State @ Bethune-Cookman +2.5 132.2 64% 60–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist -0.6 129.3 43% 62–58 ✓
USC @ Purdue +7.7 148.6 79% 71–76 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee +0.5 140.5 53% 75–77 ✓
Seattle U @ Abilene Christian -4.9 132.4 29% 69–63 ✓
Nevada @ Colorado State +3.3 136.2 71% 59–67 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge +2.7 149.6 65% 78–72 ✗
SMU @ Clemson +3.9 139.9 66% 54–57 ✓
Kansas @ Arizona +1.8 151.6 64% 77–88 ✓
UTSA @ East Carolina +1.5 150.8 56% 65–70 ✓
Villanova @ UConn +3.5 137.4 65% 56–73 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kentucky +5.0 160.8 68% 84–85 ✓
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +8.0 128.7 76% 51–55 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +7.1 140.7 73% 58–70 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +3.4 163.7 63% 96–83 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ VCU +7.6 128.8 80% 59–76 ✓
Oregon @ Michigan State +3.1 139.1 60% 64–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +7.0 141.2 72% 79–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +10.5 155.5 82% 57–62 ✓
Wichita State @ Memphis +8.4 144.7 79% 80–83 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama State +3.9 130.8 71% 62–64 ✓
Saint Louis @ Loyola Chicago +0.1 142.5 48% 64–72 ✓
Wisconsin @ UCLA -0.9 137.2 45% 86–70 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State -0.5 139.4 46% 68–70 ✗
Texas @ Tennessee +7.8 137.1 77% 72–83 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Tulane -2.1 145.6 41% 76–83 ✗
Toledo @ Akron +7.6 162.0 80% 90–100 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +2.4 131.1 60% 65–80 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +9.7 153.6 82% 55–58 ✓
Iona @ Quinnipiac +1.6 142.8 55% 81–73 ✗
Marquette @ St. John's +2.2 144.2 59% 63–79 ✓
Illinois @ Maryland +1.5 154.4 58% 65–88 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +9.9 148.6 81% 71–74 ✓
BYU @ Houston +6.6 131.7 75% 54–74 ✓
Missouri @ Florida +6.0 159.6 77% 81–95 ✓
Tulsa @ North Texas +11.0 126.3 86% 59–77 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Dayton +1.0 143.9 54% 73–68 ✗
Kent State @ Miami (OH) -2.0 144.5 42% 64–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.