They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–13 on winners spread MAE 7.4 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian -1.9 137.8 42% 78–84 ✗
Jackson State @ Florida A&M +4.1 142.7 68% 60–70 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +3.8 139.5 69% 63–67 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +6.3 152.8 76% 69–72 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota +4.0 133.1 65% 72–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston +4.0 151.1 71% 61–69 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul -0.5 133.9 47% 63–56 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson +3.0 140.5 64% 62–71 ✓
Temple @ Florida Atlantic +2.0 145.3 61% 59–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Oklahoma +6.4 148.3 76% 74–86 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +3.9 154.3 68% 88–95 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +13.1 141.5 87% 84–74 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -1.7 142.5 42% 73–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana -2.7 144.9 39% 77–66 ✓
Massachusetts @ Miami (OH) +10.2 159.5 82% 87–83 ✗
George Washington @ Fordham -6.0 137.7 28% 66–62 ✓
NC State @ Virginia +3.5 152.3 71% 74–81 ✓
Providence @ St. John's +15.2 163.6 88% 72–85 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State -0.8 139.0 42% 69–72 ✗
Iowa State @ Texas Tech -3.9 142.5 38% 75–53 ✓
Kentucky @ Missouri -4.9 148.9 31% 78–72 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +0.9 148.3 58% 76–77 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern -0.3 145.1 51% 85–74 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason +3.6 138.4 65% 63–57 ✗
Washington @ Wisconsin +4.9 153.4 71% 82–85 ✓
Louisville @ Miami -2.5 150.4 40% 73–78 ✗
Creighton @ Seton Hall +1.9 132.3 63% 61–72 ✓
UCF @ Arizona +15.1 155.9 88% 59–81 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +8.0 156.7 80% 60–80 ✓
Auburn @ Tennessee +4.2 147.0 69% 62–72 ✓
Buffalo @ Akron +13.1 157.9 85% 70–73 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne -0.1 136.5 51% 61–67 ✗
Nevada @ Grand Canyon +0.9 139.1 52% 84–80 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +7.5 142.2 77% 88–82 ✗
Ohio @ Kent State +3.2 160.9 69% 75–86 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech -1.6 132.9 42% 69–80 ✗
Northwestern @ Purdue +9.2 139.7 82% 68–81 ✓
Florida State @ Duke +19.0 146.2 89% 79–80 ✓
BYU @ Houston +4.8 143.1 74% 66–73 ✓
Xavier @ UConn +14.3 146.0 87% 68–93 ✓
Ole Miss @ Georgia +9.5 158.3 81% 76–72 ✗
Tulane @ Charlotte +1.6 144.1 57% 60–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +8.6 129.6 81% 59–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.