You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–9 on winners spread MAE 9.8 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Florida +2.1 138.4 58% 43–73 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Duke +11.6 138.6 80% 47–76 ✓
Kentucky @ Georgia +1.4 153.9 58% 69–82 ✓
Arizona @ West Virginia +1.3 141.2 46% 75–56 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Syracuse +0.4 153.2 51% 55–62 ✓
Clemson @ Louisville +5.2 145.2 77% 64–74 ✓
Ohio @ Buffalo -6.7 150.9 22% 88–79 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Ball State +0.7 145.8 50% 80–72 ✗
Kent State @ Northern Illinois -13.6 133.9 13% 68–50 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Toledo +8.3 150.7 81% 87–90 ✓
Central Michigan @ Akron +5.1 142.0 75% 71–87 ✓
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan +3.0 146.5 63% 83–79 ✗
Tulane @ UAB +2.8 153.2 62% 69–81 ✓
Utah @ Iowa State +14.5 152.4 88% 59–82 ✓
Georgetown @ Marquette +12.1 139.9 87% 66–74 ✓
Cincinnati @ Baylor +6.9 138.9 81% 48–68 ✓
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State +1.3 142.2 56% 66–79 ✓
Tulsa @ UTSA +6.0 150.7 68% 82–77 ✗
UIC @ Missouri State -0.1 144.4 48% 80–63 ✓
Nebraska @ Iowa +2.5 157.9 66% 87–97 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Eastern Illinois -2.3 133.7 43% 60–57 ✓
Auburn @ Texas -7.7 150.6 17% 87–82 ✓
Mississippi State @ Vanderbilt +2.1 151.4 48% 76–64 ✗
Fresno State @ Colorado State +11.8 147.5 87% 64–91 ✓
Texas Tech @ BYU +3.2 149.0 63% 72–67 ✗
SMU @ North Carolina +3.7 164.1 72% 67–82 ✓
LSU @ Missouri +6.8 149.9 76% 67–83 ✓
Michigan @ UCLA +2.4 143.8 62% 94–75 ✗
Utah State @ San José State -9.3 149.7 19% 85–78 ✓
New Mexico @ Wyoming -2.9 148.0 35% 61–53 ✓
UNLV @ Boise State +7.8 138.7 75% 59–81 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's +12.7 135.3 86% 56–81 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Army +0.4 145.4 55% 72–74 ✓
Navy @ Holy Cross +5.5 144.1 66% 59–70 ✓
UConn @ Villanova +0.7 152.6 58% 66–68 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ La Salle +2.1 144.4 61% 79–68 ✗
DePaul @ Seton Hall -1.8 136.5 48% 80–85 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ App State +5.0 128.7 65% 51–74 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State +2.2 137.1 60% 61–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.