Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–12 on winners spread MAE 9.8 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State +6.9 145.2 76% 67–88 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State +0.5 138.3 56% 50–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack +2.8 129.6 63% 57–55 ✗
Purdue @ Michigan -1.7 145.8 44% 68–86 ✗
East Carolina @ UAB +3.0 153.4 62% 77–94 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +3.0 132.9 66% 55–68 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +10.9 139.8 85% 51–69 ✓
Arizona @ Texas Tech +1.7 156.8 60% 86–80 ✗
Clemson @ Louisville +0.1 133.6 54% 73–76 ✓
UConn @ Creighton -2.2 142.4 40% 62–71 ✗
Boise State @ New Mexico +0.7 141.0 52% 72–69 ✗
Kentucky @ Alabama +3.6 179.5 65% 70–99 ✓
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +5.4 142.2 75% 66–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +9.3 157.0 83% 78–96 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State -3.2 143.6 52% 72–83 ✗
Maine @ Bryant +5.2 145.4 75% 59–79 ✓
Princeton @ Yale +8.2 146.4 80% 57–59 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn +3.1 138.4 57% 70–65 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +2.8 140.6 56% 77–74 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +0.1 144.5 49% 65–66 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ VCU +8.2 138.2 78% 55–62 ✓
Dartmouth @ Cornell +2.5 154.0 70% 71–87 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +8.3 147.1 78% 77–78 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason +0.2 134.7 50% 64–74 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland +4.6 143.7 69% 81–80 ✗
Alabama @ Florida +2.1 180.2 65% 82–104 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +4.3 137.4 71% 66–56 ✗
Boise State @ Colorado State -0.5 136.7 49% 56–69 ✗
Arizona @ Houston +6.1 133.6 73% 64–72 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's +8.2 144.0 83% 66–82 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +0.5 137.3 51% 63–49 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Akron +2.5 156.7 65% 74–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.