I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–9 on winners spread MAE 7.0 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State +0.6 150.1 55% 79–77 ✗
Alcorn State @ Bethune-Cookman +2.6 132.3 66% 60–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist -0.7 129.6 46% 62–58 ✓
USC @ Purdue +7.5 150.0 79% 71–76 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee +0.1 141.4 54% 75–77 ✓
Seattle U @ Abilene Christian -4.5 129.9 30% 69–63 ✓
Nevada @ Colorado State +3.6 138.5 72% 59–67 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge +3.1 149.8 65% 78–72 ✗
SMU @ Clemson +3.8 139.6 65% 54–57 ✓
Kansas @ Arizona +2.2 151.5 59% 77–88 ✓
UTSA @ East Carolina +1.1 150.2 56% 65–70 ✓
Villanova @ UConn +3.1 139.4 65% 56–73 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kentucky +5.6 160.9 68% 84–85 ✓
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +6.4 126.9 73% 51–55 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +7.0 142.9 72% 58–70 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +2.4 165.4 60% 96–83 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ VCU +7.8 127.8 80% 59–76 ✓
Oregon @ Michigan State +3.6 136.5 61% 64–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +7.0 142.4 76% 79–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +11.0 158.1 81% 57–62 ✓
Wichita State @ Memphis +8.9 145.0 81% 80–83 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama State +3.5 129.2 71% 62–64 ✓
Saint Louis @ Loyola Chicago -0.8 144.1 47% 64–72 ✗
Wisconsin @ UCLA -0.2 138.8 46% 86–70 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State -0.6 139.7 44% 68–70 ✗
Texas @ Tennessee +8.4 134.8 79% 72–83 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Tulane -2.5 144.3 39% 76–83 ✗
Toledo @ Akron +9.8 161.5 80% 90–100 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +2.8 132.5 60% 65–80 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +9.7 152.5 83% 55–58 ✓
Iona @ Quinnipiac +1.8 142.4 57% 81–73 ✗
Marquette @ St. John's +2.6 144.0 61% 63–79 ✓
Illinois @ Maryland +0.8 152.2 60% 65–88 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +9.2 150.3 80% 71–74 ✓
BYU @ Houston +5.9 132.3 74% 54–74 ✓
Missouri @ Florida +7.9 161.9 75% 81–95 ✓
Tulsa @ North Texas +10.7 128.0 85% 59–77 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Dayton +0.5 146.2 52% 73–68 ✗
Kent State @ Miami (OH) -1.9 145.1 44% 64–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.