We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–18 on winners spread MAE 9.3 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
St. John's @ UConn +5.3 147.7 74% 40–72 ✓
Maryland @ Nebraska +17.5 137.2 90% 61–74 ✓
Florida @ Texas -1.4 155.2 37% 84–71 ✓
Georgia @ Vanderbilt +6.8 163.5 77% 80–88 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +4.5 134.0 68% 71–69 ✗
Lafayette @ Colgate +9.5 144.7 84% 70–69 ✗
Lehigh @ American University +5.7 143.8 73% 78–73 ✗
George Mason @ Saint Joseph's -0.6 132.8 44% 63–81 ✗
Davidson @ Duquesne +2.9 142.6 68% 67–56 ✗
North Texas @ Charlotte +0.1 136.1 47% 79–80 ✓
Holy Cross @ Boston University +6.7 144.3 77% 63–78 ✓
Butler @ Villanova +8.8 150.9 83% 73–82 ✓
Navy @ Loyola Maryland -7.2 145.2 19% 78–51 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota -0.0 151.9 44% 72–89 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Robert Morris +7.2 149.8 80% 62–73 ✓
Wright State @ Purdue Fort Wayne -2.1 149.5 41% 74–70 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State -5.2 158.0 30% 81–70 ✓
Mercer @ Western Carolina -0.1 154.3 53% 74–78 ✗
Wofford @ East Tennessee State +10.7 149.7 84% 72–69 ✗
Lipscomb @ West Georgia -4.5 151.8 33% 78–84 ✗
Queens University @ Eastern Kentucky -0.4 164.8 50% 96–79 ✓
Xavier @ Providence +5.9 168.9 74% 84–94 ✓
Evansville @ Belmont +18.7 150.9 91% 64–98 ✓
Tulsa @ Tulane -5.9 149.1 30% 90–56 ✓
Drake @ Valparaiso +5.3 145.5 75% 71–74 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +10.1 142.0 86% 55–66 ✓
South Florida @ Rice -10.2 158.4 20% 75–56 ✓
East Carolina @ UTSA -3.9 145.8 36% 82–81 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Stanford +7.0 136.2 78% 67–75 ✓
Youngstown State @ Milwaukee -1.2 146.7 50% 65–78 ✗
Georgia Southern @ James Madison +6.2 151.9 75% 66–82 ✓
UL Monroe @ South Alabama +13.6 152.8 89% 54–89 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay +5.4 148.2 70% 93–88 ✗
Portland @ Gonzaga +26.9 150.1 91% 48–89 ✓
Mississippi State @ Alabama +14.3 168.2 89% 75–100 ✓
Seattle U @ Pepperdine -7.1 134.8 21% 87–80 ✓
Kansas State @ Colorado +6.0 158.6 77% 70–79 ✓
Ohio State @ Iowa +5.1 142.8 71% 57–74 ✓
UNLV @ Grand Canyon +8.6 150.6 78% 67–80 ✓
DePaul @ Creighton +5.5 139.4 73% 72–71 ✗
LSU @ Ole Miss +0.2 148.2 52% 106–99 ✗
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +8.2 169.9 83% 84–99 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Alabama -2.2 149.4 40% 68–73 ✗
San Diego @ Oregon State +6.4 145.0 78% 82–92 ✓
SMU @ California -1.4 157.7 45% 69–73 ✗
Wisconsin @ Oregon -4.9 150.2 33% 71–85 ✗
Washington State @ Loyola Marymount +1.7 148.4 61% 66–67 ✓
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +4.8 149.5 73% 67–86 ✓
Utah State @ San Diego State +0.4 148.0 55% 72–89 ✓
Charleston @ Hampton -3.4 138.1 32% 85–71 ✓
Rhode Island @ St. Bonaventure +0.3 142.9 49% 76–94 ✓
New Hampshire @ Binghamton -1.0 138.9 37% 63–65 ✗
Bryant @ UMBC +12.5 135.9 88% 58–70 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling -0.0 142.6 47% 76–71 ✓
Maine @ UAlbany +4.4 131.5 52% 70–59 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.