Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–12 on winners spread MAE 7.4 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian -2.0 137.9 39% 78–84 ✗
Jackson State @ Florida A&M +4.7 140.5 73% 60–70 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +4.7 141.7 71% 63–67 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +6.2 152.6 75% 69–72 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota +4.5 134.1 65% 72–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston +4.7 150.3 72% 61–69 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul -0.5 132.3 44% 63–56 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson +2.6 137.0 64% 62–71 ✓
Temple @ Florida Atlantic +2.4 143.8 61% 59–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Oklahoma +6.0 146.8 74% 74–86 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +4.6 149.7 68% 88–95 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +13.5 143.2 86% 84–74 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -2.0 141.9 41% 73–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana -2.4 143.8 38% 77–66 ✓
Massachusetts @ Miami (OH) +8.6 159.2 82% 87–83 ✗
George Washington @ Fordham -6.2 138.0 25% 66–62 ✓
NC State @ Virginia +4.2 152.0 68% 74–81 ✓
Providence @ St. John's +13.1 158.4 87% 72–85 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +0.2 140.9 50% 69–72 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas Tech -2.9 142.9 41% 75–53 ✓
Kentucky @ Missouri -4.7 150.4 33% 78–72 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +0.7 148.4 59% 76–77 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern -0.4 141.3 53% 85–74 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason +3.9 140.7 67% 63–57 ✗
Washington @ Wisconsin +5.1 151.9 72% 82–85 ✓
Louisville @ Miami -3.0 150.0 38% 73–78 ✗
Creighton @ Seton Hall +2.2 130.6 61% 61–72 ✓
UCF @ Arizona +14.2 154.6 88% 59–81 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +7.8 156.6 79% 60–80 ✓
Auburn @ Tennessee +3.9 147.1 68% 62–72 ✓
Buffalo @ Akron +11.7 157.6 86% 70–73 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne -0.3 134.5 52% 61–67 ✗
Nevada @ Grand Canyon +1.2 139.9 56% 84–80 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +7.5 139.9 77% 88–82 ✗
Ohio @ Kent State +3.6 157.8 66% 75–86 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech -2.4 130.6 38% 69–80 ✗
Northwestern @ Purdue +8.9 141.1 79% 68–81 ✓
Florida State @ Duke +17.3 147.7 89% 79–80 ✓
BYU @ Houston +4.8 145.0 67% 66–73 ✓
Xavier @ UConn +13.5 145.7 86% 68–93 ✓
Ole Miss @ Georgia +8.8 157.2 80% 76–72 ✗
Tulane @ Charlotte +2.2 143.4 60% 60–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +8.4 128.9 80% 59–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.