Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–5 on winners spread MAE 8.2 25 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Coppin State @ Georgetown +22.8 134.0 91% 53–83 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Maryland +25.5 147.3 91% 66–81 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Louisville +16.2 151.1 88% 76–78 ✓
Delaware State @ Saint Joseph's +14.4 146.6 88% 58–76 ✓
Ole Miss @ Memphis +2.7 147.0 56% 70–87 ✓
North Carolina Central @ North Carolina A&T +0.5 150.5 48% 72–85 ✓
Mercer @ Georgia State +0.4 153.0 51% 71–68 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ George Mason +13.4 138.3 87% 56–64 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Georgia Tech +17.4 149.2 90% 49–92 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ DePaul +13.2 144.1 87% 65–84 ✓
Bucknell @ Syracuse +8.3 150.3 80% 63–75 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Davidson +13.9 146.4 88% 64–86 ✓
New Mexico @ Colorado State +0.8 149.5 52% 76–68 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Texas A&M +17.9 134.2 90% 54–92 ✓
Gonzaga @ UCLA -3.7 144.4 37% 62–65 ✗
Nevada @ Wyoming -4.0 136.2 36% 63–66 ✗
Fairfield @ Columbia +13.3 150.5 88% 72–85 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Boston College +8.7 148.4 79% 70–78 ✓
Howard @ Hampton +6.5 143.6 74% 67–83 ✓
Boise State @ San José State -4.7 146.0 30% 73–71 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ McNeese +15.1 137.7 89% 61–86 ✓
Utah State @ San Diego State +2.7 138.8 61% 67–66 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Richmond -0.4 140.7 49% 75–57 ✓
Delaware @ St. John's +19.8 158.6 91% 76–97 ✓
Grand Canyon @ San Diego -9.6 140.5 18% 68–55 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.