I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
20–12 on winners spread MAE 9.5 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State +7.1 145.3 77% 67–88 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State +0.9 139.2 54% 50–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack +2.7 129.8 61% 57–55 ✗
Purdue @ Michigan -1.1 145.2 42% 68–86 ✗
East Carolina @ UAB +3.0 151.9 60% 77–94 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +2.9 133.4 64% 55–68 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +11.6 139.6 83% 51–69 ✓
Arizona @ Texas Tech +2.1 158.7 57% 86–80 ✗
Clemson @ Louisville +0.1 135.6 51% 73–76 ✓
UConn @ Creighton -2.4 143.0 39% 62–71 ✗
Boise State @ New Mexico +1.1 141.9 53% 72–69 ✗
Kentucky @ Alabama +3.9 178.9 62% 70–99 ✓
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +5.7 141.2 73% 66–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +9.7 157.1 82% 78–96 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State -1.5 144.9 46% 72–83 ✗
Maine @ Bryant +6.9 144.0 76% 59–79 ✓
Princeton @ Yale +7.9 145.5 78% 57–59 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn +3.1 140.2 63% 70–65 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +2.3 140.7 61% 77–74 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +0.1 143.5 49% 65–66 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ VCU +8.3 137.7 79% 55–62 ✓
Dartmouth @ Cornell +3.3 154.5 64% 71–87 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +8.2 146.5 80% 77–78 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason +0.3 133.4 50% 64–74 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland +4.2 143.9 66% 81–80 ✗
Alabama @ Florida +3.2 177.9 56% 82–104 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +4.4 136.2 68% 66–56 ✗
Boise State @ Colorado State -0.4 137.5 50% 56–69 ✗
Arizona @ Houston +6.5 135.9 73% 64–72 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's +8.9 146.3 81% 66–82 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +0.5 136.2 52% 63–49 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Akron +2.8 157.7 62% 74–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.