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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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85–36 on winners spread MAE 9.4 121 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Long Island University @ Stonehill +4.1 133.2 62% 70–60 ✗
Minnesota @ Wisconsin +13.9 143.2 87% 59–80 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Saint Francis +1.8 132.3 56% 59–73 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Le Moyne +1.4 150.9 58% 91–86 ✗
Wagner @ Central Connecticut +9.8 125.0 75% 62–57 ✗
Siena @ Quinnipiac +5.6 140.6 78% 53–72 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Manhattan +0.7 150.4 43% 75–66 ✗
Rider @ Canisius -3.5 138.3 36% 67–85 ✗
Iona @ Fairfield +0.4 138.3 50% 64–68 ✓
UCLA @ Maryland +6.1 140.1 80% 61–79 ✓
Central Michigan @ Toledo +4.7 146.7 73% 67–69 ✓
Notre Dame @ Duke +17.7 139.2 90% 78–86 ✓
USC @ Illinois +15.5 155.4 87% 82–72 ✗
Louisville @ Pittsburgh +7.2 150.4 68% 82–78 ✗
La Salle @ St. Bonaventure +11.6 138.7 86% 83–82 ✗
Brown @ Yale +12.0 144.3 86% 58–79 ✓
Creighton @ Butler -0.0 145.8 44% 80–76 ✓
Auburn @ South Carolina -12.3 145.9 14% 66–63 ✓
Belmont @ Indiana State +1.5 159.9 53% 84–79 ✗
San Diego State @ New Mexico +0.9 143.2 68% 48–62 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +3.7 135.1 68% 65–82 ✓
NJIT @ UMass Lowell +13.9 142.0 89% 62–70 ✓
Binghamton @ New Hampshire -3.7 138.5 36% 72–79 ✗
James Madison @ App State +1.5 133.8 54% 66–86 ✓
Charleston @ Monmouth -5.9 148.2 27% 73–84 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Hofstra +0.7 132.3 53% 63–66 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Ohio +15.1 148.3 89% 70–108 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas Tech +3.1 143.2 51% 85–84 ✗
UConn @ Georgetown -3.2 138.4 34% 68–60 ✓
Kansas @ Cincinnati -1.2 128.4 45% 54–40 ✓
East Carolina @ Memphis +13.7 146.3 87% 70–74 ✓
Radford @ South Carolina Upstate -7.4 144.2 21% 80–67 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian +0.7 147.0 44% 96–87 ✗
Longwood @ Winthrop +1.7 152.4 66% 76–95 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Northwestern State +8.7 135.1 84% 67–75 ✓
BYU @ TCU -0.7 137.6 48% 67–71 ✗
Temple @ Rice +1.1 140.4 62% 73–70 ✗
South Florida @ Tulane +2.4 147.9 63% 70–73 ✓
Florida State @ Clemson +8.1 144.7 81% 57–77 ✓
Massachusetts @ George Mason +11.9 140.3 86% 70–77 ✓
Fordham @ Davidson +10.2 143.7 84% 64–74 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +2.0 128.0 63% 50–87 ✓
Army @ Lehigh +4.1 144.0 66% 74–69 ✗
Cornell @ Columbia +1.6 159.9 50% 94–83 ✗
Princeton @ Harvard -3.2 139.3 29% 68–64 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Dartmouth +4.5 146.5 79% 70–73 ✓
UAlbany @ Maine +3.5 141.7 62% 66–87 ✓
Cleveland State @ Youngstown State +3.4 138.2 49% 80–72 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ William & Mary +10.4 160.4 85% 78–81 ✓
Towson @ Drexel +4.1 126.8 52% 93–82 ✗
Delaware @ Hampton +1.0 147.4 59% 77–83 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Florida Gulf Coast +12.3 144.7 85% 71–77 ✓
South Dakota State @ Omaha -4.3 146.8 36% 80–87 ✗
Bowling Green @ Ball State +3.6 148.7 72% 69–91 ✓
Syracuse @ Boston College +1.4 147.5 60% 79–71 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Saint Joseph's +5.8 143.7 72% 57–93 ✓
Bradley @ UIC +0.3 145.5 50% 61–60 ✗
San José State @ Air Force -2.3 133.7 39% 69–62 ✓
Old Dominion @ South Alabama +14.5 136.4 86% 71–63 ✗
Texas State @ Southern Miss -3.4 139.9 37% 88–92 ✗
North Dakota State @ Denver -11.0 152.1 18% 69–50 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky +5.3 154.8 76% 69–85 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Missouri +2.8 152.0 74% 66–75 ✓
Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) +8.4 146.4 80% 71–91 ✓
Akron @ Eastern Michigan -7.6 154.8 25% 105–81 ✓
Florida International @ Sam Houston +6.9 147.2 71% 74–81 ✓
Florida @ Arkansas -4.7 148.8 33% 71–63 ✓
UNLV @ Colorado State +6.1 141.7 77% 62–84 ✓
Wichita State @ UTSA -2.5 156.6 42% 75–88 ✗
Georgia Tech @ SMU +11.3 152.9 85% 71–93 ✓
Virginia @ Stanford +5.9 130.7 72% 65–88 ✓
North Carolina @ NC State -3.1 151.2 34% 63–61 ✓
Morgan State @ Howard +9.5 160.6 84% 95–100 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central +10.3 143.2 86% 69–88 ✓
Delaware State @ South Carolina State +8.2 145.8 77% 76–75 ✗
Valparaiso @ Murray State +7.1 145.4 81% 47–58 ✓
Bucknell @ American University +1.2 138.0 56% 58–68 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alcorn State +4.9 142.1 71% 52–62 ✓
Vermont @ Bryant +4.2 138.1 65% 53–73 ✓
Xavier @ DePaul -4.1 148.6 35% 77–63 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State -3.8 130.7 29% 65–54 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Marshall +7.4 147.4 81% 69–81 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State +1.4 137.8 63% 74–79 ✓
Green Bay @ Milwaukee +11.0 145.6 88% 59–70 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton -7.8 131.5 25% 95–86 ✓
North Alabama @ Stetson -8.4 148.0 23% 92–64 ✓
Jacksonville @ Eastern Kentucky +1.7 142.4 51% 82–75 ✗
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +3.5 137.3 67% 69–75 ✓
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +15.5 139.5 90% 52–70 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +16.6 136.2 90% 69–92 ✓
Alabama State @ Jackson State +0.8 145.8 46% 70–77 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +6.2 154.8 77% 74–79 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian -1.7 134.1 49% 76–81 ✗
Arkansas State @ Troy +1.1 141.3 61% 84–78 ✗
Tennessee State @ Western Illinois +2.6 145.1 51% 72–52 ✗
UT Martin @ Lindenwood -1.4 138.1 45% 81–82 ✗
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State +3.6 137.2 62% 67–56 ✗
Navy @ Loyola Maryland +4.1 143.0 61% 74–75 ✓
Nicholls @ McNeese +15.4 139.6 88% 71–80 ✓
Idaho @ Portland State +2.4 141.8 65% 63–75 ✓
Seton Hall @ Providence +9.6 133.8 78% 85–91 ✓
West Georgia @ Lipscomb +14.8 143.1 89% 67–86 ✓
Queens University @ Austin Peay -0.7 142.6 42% 67–60 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Davis +5.5 134.9 72% 84–73 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ SIU Edwardsville +3.9 136.6 74% 59–67 ✓
Wake Forest @ Miami -0.1 141.2 42% 88–78 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling -2.2 135.7 40% 65–59 ✓
Tennessee @ Texas -2.3 133.2 35% 74–70 ✓
Houston @ Kansas State -12.9 129.0 12% 87–57 ✓
Oklahoma @ Georgia +6.7 144.2 77% 62–72 ✓
LSU @ Ole Miss +7.9 147.3 80% 65–77 ✓
Virginia Tech @ California +6.3 141.3 72% 71–68 ✗
Rhode Island @ Richmond -3.3 141.2 38% 67–64 ✓
Evansville @ Drake +17.1 116.0 87% 40–63 ✓
Florida A&M @ Southern +10.9 140.2 86% 57–91 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana +0.6 156.3 53% 81–57 ✗
SE Louisiana @ LSU New Orleans -5.8 141.7 27% 91–71 ✓
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky +2.2 134.2 61% 68–53 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Samford +5.9 148.2 73% 69–76 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Middle Tennessee +2.4 146.1 61% 64–81 ✓
North Florida @ Bellarmine -6.6 160.9 36% 98–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.