And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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2–0 on winners spread MAE 15.3 85 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ Kansas — — — 89–92 —
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue — — — 50–72 —
Morehead State @ Cincinnati — — — 56–83 —
Grambling @ Ole Miss — — — 64–66 —
St. Thomas @ Green Bay — — — 90–76 —
Georgia Southern @ UNC Wilmington — — — 84–92 —
William & Mary @ Radford — — — 77–89 —
South Florida @ Charleston — — — 71–86 —
Davidson @ Bowling Green — — — 91–85 —
Siena @ Bryant — — — 90–88 —
Presbyterian @ NC State — — — 72–81 —
Holy Cross @ Rhode Island — — — 77–91 —
Hampton @ George Washington — — — 54–82 —
Murray State @ Pittsburgh — — — 68–83 —
Purdue Fort Wayne @ UCF — — — 68–75 —
South Carolina State @ South Carolina — — — 64–86 —
Western Carolina @ Queens University — — — 54–67 —
Eastern Kentucky @ East Tennessee State — — — 82–78 —
Massachusetts @ West Virginia — — — 69–75 —
South Carolina Upstate @ Virginia Tech — — — 74–93 —
Iona @ Hofstra — — — 76–90 —
Saint Francis @ Clemson — — — 62–88 —
Central Connecticut @ Saint Joseph's — — — 73–67 —
South Alabama @ Nicholls — — — 70–64 —
Furman @ Belmont — — — 76–74 —
UL Monroe @ Tulane — — — 64–80 —
Georgia State @ Mississippi State — — — 66–101 —
Arkansas State @ Alabama — — — 79–88 —
East Texas A&M @ Texas A&M — — — 55–87 —
Houston Christian @ Texas — — — 59–90 —
Santa Clara @ Arizona State — — — 74–81 —
Yale @ UIC — — — 79–91 —
Howard @ Missouri — — — 62–77 —
Mount St. Mary's @ Maryland — — — 52–86 —
SIU Edwardsville @ Illinois — — — 58–90 —
Florida Gulf Coast @ TCU — — — 51–67 —
Princeton @ Duquesne — — — 75–68 —
Harvard @ Navy — — — 80–85 —
NJIT @ Villanova +8.4 131.8 74% 54–91 ✓
George Mason @ Marquette +21.0 143.1 88% 63–82 ✓
Northwestern State @ Texas Tech — — — 65–86 —
Northern Colorado @ Colorado — — — 88–90 —
UC Riverside @ BYU — — — 80–86 —
Long Beach State @ South Dakota State — — — 79–80 —
San José State @ Pacific — — — 67–80 —
Tennessee State @ Colorado State — — — 79–87 —
Boston University @ San Diego — — — 60–74 —
UC Irvine @ Loyola Marymount — — — 66–51 —
Sacramento State @ Fresno State — — — 57–64 —
Montana @ Oregon — — — 48–79 —
Weber State @ Oregon State — — — 48–76 —
New Mexico @ UCLA — — — 72–64 —
Bradley @ Washington State — — — 74–91 —
Tennessee @ Louisville — — — 77–55 —
Little Rock @ Winthrop — — — 67–82 —
Fordham @ Seton Hall — — — 57–56 —
Wright State @ Miami (OH) — — — 81–68 —
Sacred Heart @ Dartmouth — — — 76–81 —
Colgate @ Drexel — — — 56–73 —
Delaware State @ Columbia — — — 62–83 —
Toledo @ Marshall — — — 90–80 —
Jackson State @ High Point — — — 71–80 —
Quinnipiac @ St. John's — — — 73–96 —
Rider @ Coppin State — — — 64–53 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Tulsa — — — 80–103 —
VMI @ Bellarmine — — — 76–71 —
Morgan State @ Longwood — — — 66–84 —
Omaha @ Minnesota — — — 64–68 —
Lafayette @ La Salle — — — 60–81 —
Old Dominion @ Arizona — — — 44–102 —
Bucknell @ Kentucky — — — 72–100 —
UTEP @ Utah Valley — — — 60–89 —
Coastal Carolina @ East Carolina — — — 59–63 —
Charlotte @ Utah State — — — 74–103 —
Fairfield @ Georgetown — — — 57–69 —
Cleveland State @ Kansas State — — — 64–77 —
St. Bonaventure @ Canisius — — — 87–78 —
Troy @ LSU New Orleans — — — 78–61 —
Wofford @ Lipscomb — — — 69–78 —
Louisiana Tech @ UT Arlington — — — 92–77 —
James Madison @ Norfolk State — — — 69–83 —
UC Santa Barbara @ Portland — — — 94–53 —
Memphis @ UNLV — — — 80–74 —
Marist @ Richmond — — — 79–72 —
Stonehill @ Providence — — — 49–76 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.