And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–10 on winners spread MAE 8.9 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Prairie View A&M @ Florida A&M +4.9 142.2 71% 66–75 ✓
Fairfield @ Sacred Heart +3.2 144.7 67% 58–71 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -2.9 135.9 41% 58–51 ✓
UAlbany @ Bryant +9.3 152.8 82% 78–91 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +2.3 145.3 70% 45–72 ✓
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +4.9 142.2 68% 64–61 ✗
Nicholls @ Lamar -0.2 136.2 47% 55–58 ✗
UCF @ Utah +2.3 156.3 57% 87–72 ✗
Idaho @ Montana +4.8 146.3 74% 55–78 ✓
Richmond @ Davidson +5.1 135.1 68% 65–69 ✓
Virginia @ Georgia Tech +0.4 132.5 51% 60–66 ✓
Cincinnati @ Iowa State +5.8 136.5 75% 56–76 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice +2.0 139.4 58% 64–61 ✗
South Carolina @ Arkansas +5.0 142.0 71% 68–72 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +6.4 129.2 71% 65–62 ✗
Wyoming @ San José State +1.2 137.6 59% 61–66 ✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island +5.2 154.0 72% 88–71 ✗
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +7.8 151.9 79% 56–76 ✓
Colorado @ West Virginia +4.6 130.6 68% 67–60 ✗
Northwestern @ Minnesota -4.8 130.4 29% 72–64 ✓
Texas @ Vanderbilt -0.1 152.5 49% 79–72 ✓
Butler @ Providence -2.2 146.0 35% 75–69 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +11.6 139.9 83% 71–86 ✓
La Salle @ Massachusetts +0.2 144.1 45% 78–71 ✗
Lamar @ McNeese +13.4 134.6 87% 54–63 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +13.3 139.4 88% 70–77 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +4.0 142.6 69% 64–78 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +4.4 157.6 66% 77–70 ✗
UTEP @ Liberty +7.3 138.6 74% 60–81 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown +2.5 143.0 62% 71–67 ✗
LSU @ Mississippi State +6.0 147.4 76% 62–91 ✓
Navy @ American University +3.1 135.1 66% 52–74 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +12.2 131.4 86% 59–68 ✓
Kansas State @ Baylor +5.4 135.5 72% 56–70 ✓
California @ Stanford +2.4 143.8 61% 73–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.