What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–9 on winners spread MAE 5.9 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida A&M @ Jackson State +2.8 139.7 68% 76–91 ✓
Coppin State @ South Carolina State +13.5 141.2 87% 63–68 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +2.3 137.5 62% 62–66 ✓
USC @ Rutgers -1.8 156.0 45% 97–89 ✓
Florida International @ Jacksonville State +7.2 135.4 74% 56–65 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +10.4 140.8 84% 57–74 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara +4.0 143.0 66% 66–71 ✓
Seton Hall @ Villanova +12.0 130.3 85% 55–67 ✓
Oklahoma @ Georgia +1.6 146.2 59% 81–75 ✗
UCF @ Kansas +8.8 154.4 80% 94–98 ✓
Syracuse @ SMU +7.5 151.9 79% 53–73 ✓
Montana @ Northern Colorado +1.4 148.6 60% 91–83 ✗
UT Arlington @ Grand Canyon +7.5 146.4 81% 75–98 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Davis -2.6 149.3 32% 86–76 ✓
Bowling Green @ Akron +9.0 152.6 82% 67–96 ✓
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +2.8 130.5 65% 59–64 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Duke +18.6 142.6 86% 70–78 ✓
Butler @ St. John's +9.3 147.8 82% 57–78 ✓
Indiana @ Oregon +1.8 142.3 61% 59–72 ✓
Iowa State @ BYU -2.6 149.0 47% 92–96 ✗
South Florida @ Wichita State +2.8 140.9 66% 68–73 ✓
Arkansas @ Ole Miss +1.4 149.1 57% 80–83 ✓
Ohio @ Toledo -2.3 158.4 43% 85–90 ✗
Alabama State @ Texas Southern -0.2 139.1 49% 84–79 ✓
Davidson @ Saint Louis +2.5 139.2 67% 75–83 ✓
Northwestern @ Wisconsin +5.1 140.2 72% 63–70 ✓
Marquette @ Xavier -2.0 143.9 45% 89–87 ✓
North Carolina @ Wake Forest -4.8 146.7 30% 68–59 ✓
San José State @ New Mexico +11.6 151.1 85% 52–63 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +7.6 145.8 78% 59–64 ✓
Colorado @ Houston +13.8 129.3 88% 68–77 ✓
Texas @ Texas A&M +2.6 142.0 62% 94–89 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Miami (OH) +6.8 147.3 75% 75–81 ✓
Fordham @ George Washington +6.8 143.9 76% 81–88 ✓
Boise State @ San Diego State -0.6 132.1 43% 62–52 ✓
Morgan State @ Howard +2.3 153.8 58% 91–90 ✗
Manhattan @ Iona -2.0 144.2 47% 65–77 ✗
Iowa @ Illinois +8.6 164.5 78% 94–106 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +9.3 142.2 80% 66–73 ✓
New Mexico State @ Kennesaw State -0.9 136.0 47% 77–80 ✗
Baylor @ Texas Tech +3.2 139.8 64% 74–76 ✓
Stanford @ Louisville +7.9 137.8 80% 73–75 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +5.0 145.5 70% 75–71 ✗
DePaul @ Creighton +8.8 144.3 81% 81–85 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Joseph's +8.3 142.9 78% 70–75 ✓
Mississippi State @ Missouri +0.4 157.9 59% 73–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.