In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–6 on winners spread MAE 8.3 25 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Coppin State @ Georgetown +25.7 133.1 91% 53–83 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Maryland +34.7 148.1 91% 66–81 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Louisville +16.3 151.5 88% 76–78 ✓
Delaware State @ Saint Joseph's +15.0 147.6 87% 58–76 ✓
Ole Miss @ Memphis +2.7 145.9 54% 70–87 ✓
North Carolina Central @ North Carolina A&T +0.3 150.0 49% 72–85 ✓
Mercer @ Georgia State +0.4 153.2 48% 71–68 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ George Mason +14.1 139.0 86% 56–64 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Georgia Tech +19.1 147.5 91% 49–92 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ DePaul +14.4 143.6 87% 65–84 ✓
Bucknell @ Syracuse +9.2 151.1 79% 63–75 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Davidson +14.1 146.7 88% 64–86 ✓
New Mexico @ Colorado State +1.0 151.8 51% 76–68 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Texas A&M +19.9 134.6 89% 54–92 ✓
Gonzaga @ UCLA -3.5 146.7 44% 62–65 ✗
Nevada @ Wyoming -4.5 137.0 35% 63–66 ✗
Fairfield @ Columbia +14.2 149.4 88% 72–85 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Boston College +9.2 149.3 79% 70–78 ✓
Howard @ Hampton +6.7 144.8 74% 67–83 ✓
Boise State @ San José State -4.7 146.3 31% 73–71 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ McNeese +16.4 138.7 89% 61–86 ✓
Utah State @ San Diego State +2.4 140.3 63% 67–66 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Richmond +0.1 141.9 51% 75–57 ✗
Delaware @ St. John's +21.8 158.6 91% 76–97 ✓
Grand Canyon @ San Diego -9.5 141.3 19% 68–55 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.