Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–9 on winners spread MAE 8.7 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Prairie View A&M @ Florida A&M +6.7 142.3 75% 66–75 ✓
Fairfield @ Sacred Heart +3.7 143.6 67% 58–71 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -2.9 137.3 39% 58–51 ✓
UAlbany @ Bryant +9.8 151.8 83% 78–91 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +3.2 144.6 66% 45–72 ✓
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +5.2 138.1 72% 64–61 ✗
Nicholls @ Lamar -0.2 136.6 48% 55–58 ✗
UCF @ Utah +1.5 153.9 56% 87–72 ✗
Idaho @ Montana +5.0 146.1 71% 55–78 ✓
Richmond @ Davidson +4.7 133.2 70% 65–69 ✓
Virginia @ Georgia Tech +0.3 131.5 52% 60–66 ✓
Cincinnati @ Iowa State +6.7 135.0 74% 56–76 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice +2.6 138.9 59% 64–61 ✗
South Carolina @ Arkansas +5.3 140.7 72% 68–72 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +6.2 128.1 73% 65–62 ✗
Wyoming @ San José State +0.7 137.0 54% 61–66 ✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island +5.8 152.2 73% 88–71 ✗
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +8.1 151.2 79% 56–76 ✓
Colorado @ West Virginia +5.2 129.4 70% 67–60 ✗
Northwestern @ Minnesota -5.1 129.2 32% 72–64 ✓
Texas @ Vanderbilt -0.0 152.0 51% 79–72 ✓
Butler @ Providence -2.4 145.8 39% 75–69 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +11.8 139.6 84% 71–86 ✓
La Salle @ Massachusetts -0.3 140.9 49% 78–71 ✓
Lamar @ McNeese +13.2 134.4 88% 54–63 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +13.8 140.9 88% 70–77 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +4.1 141.3 68% 64–78 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +4.1 156.4 66% 77–70 ✗
UTEP @ Liberty +8.2 138.9 79% 60–81 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown +2.6 141.9 60% 71–67 ✗
LSU @ Mississippi State +6.4 147.4 73% 62–91 ✓
Navy @ American University +3.5 134.7 65% 52–74 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +12.9 131.9 86% 59–68 ✓
Kansas State @ Baylor +5.5 134.7 70% 56–70 ✓
California @ Stanford +3.0 144.6 64% 73–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.