← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
30–9 on winners
spread MAE 7.1
39 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+0.8 | 149.2 | 49% | 79–77 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.3 | 132.4 | 54% | 60–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.2 | 128.1 | 41% | 62–58 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.3 | 145.2 | 82% | 71–76 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.3 | 139.3 | 52% | 75–77 | ✗ |
|
|
-5.1 | 129.6 | 29% | 69–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.4 | 134.6 | 68% | 59–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.8 | 146.2 | 62% | 78–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.3 | 138.3 | 67% | 54–57 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.4 | 151.9 | 65% | 77–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.2 | 147.7 | 58% | 65–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.0 | 134.0 | 68% | 56–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.8 | 161.2 | 69% | 84–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.7 | 127.9 | 73% | 51–55 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.3 | 137.9 | 73% | 58–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.7 | 165.4 | 65% | 96–83 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.0 | 129.2 | 79% | 59–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.8 | 141.1 | 64% | 64–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.4 | 142.3 | 71% | 79–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.2 | 152.9 | 83% | 57–62 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.4 | 145.5 | 77% | 80–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.0 | 130.1 | 69% | 62–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.8 | 144.2 | 55% | 64–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.9 | 136.3 | 45% | 86–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.0 | 137.9 | 48% | 68–70 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.1 | 138.4 | 79% | 72–83 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.6 | 144.6 | 36% | 76–83 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.0 | 163.1 | 81% | 90–100 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.3 | 132.8 | 60% | 65–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.1 | 152.6 | 81% | 55–58 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.5 | 143.9 | 54% | 81–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.4 | 143.5 | 61% | 63–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.1 | 156.5 | 55% | 65–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.1 | 149.8 | 82% | 71–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.0 | 133.6 | 75% | 54–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.1 | 159.6 | 74% | 81–95 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.1 | 127.1 | 85% | 59–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.4 | 144.2 | 55% | 73–68 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.5 | 141.9 | 39% | 64–72 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.