And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–2 on winners spread MAE 12.0 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Florida @ Tennessee — — — 66–99 —
Elon @ Marshall — — — 89–96 —
James Madison @ Longwood — — — 72–82 —
Presbyterian @ South Carolina +14.4 138.5 86% 61–81 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ East Tennessee State — — — 63–75 —
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Western Michigan +4.0 141.6 81% 71–83 ✓
Coppin State @ South Florida +18.6 148.0 89% 50–100 ✓
Saint Peter's @ VCU — — — 61–78 —
Milwaukee @ Indiana +19.3 157.0 90% 70–101 ✓
Brown @ Boston University — — — 77–90 —
Saint Joseph's @ Virginia Tech — — — 59–94 —
Siena @ St. Bonaventure — — — 66–75 —
American University @ George Washington — — — 67–107 —
Mercyhurst @ Canisius -6.3 135.1 34% 55–58 ✗
Oakland @ Houston +16.5 138.1 87% 45–78 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Vanderbilt — — — 62–92 —
Tulsa @ Oral Roberts — — — 88–87 —
Minnesota @ Missouri +6.4 145.2 74% 60–83 ✓
UTSA @ Texas State — — — 69–80 —
Little Rock @ Marquette — — — 49–89 —
Middle Tennessee @ Evansville — — — 77–72 —
Nicholls @ Valparaiso -2.4 139.5 57% 63–68 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ NC State — — — 64–110 —
Prairie View A&M @ Oklahoma State — — — 67–94 —
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Texas +21.8 142.6 90% 58–93 ✓
Southern Indiana @ South Dakota — — — 74–89 —
UT Martin @ Bradley — — — 78–67 —
Samford @ Texas Southern -9.3 144.4 20% 93–90 ✓
Dartmouth @ Bryant — — — 75–82 —
Weber State @ Utah State — — — 73–83 —
UC San Diego @ Fresno State — — — 78–73 —
Cal Poly @ Colorado State +18.2 143.7 87% 79–93 ✓
Idaho @ San Diego — — — 74–78 —
Manhattan @ Utah Tech — — — 79–75 —
South Dakota State @ Oregon — — — 69–83 —
North Texas @ Oregon State +0.1 127.7 37% 64–66 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Nevada — — — 81–86 —
Portland State @ San Francisco — — — 70–80 —
Eastern Washington @ Seattle U +3.9 145.2 70% 67–94 ✓
Long Beach State @ Pacific — — — 66–69 —
Montana State @ Stanford — — — 68–77 —
Mississippi Valley State @ Hawai'i +24.2 148.4 91% 56–88 ✓
Central Michigan @ South Alabama +4.4 135.2 65% 64–66 ✓
Cornell @ Lafayette -0.7 161.3 57% 97–78 ✓
Pittsburgh @ West Virginia +1.4 127.3 54% 49–71 ✓
San José State @ Michigan State — — — 60–79 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.