I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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56–21 on winners spread MAE 10.3 91 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana State @ Duke +25.6 152.9 90% 62–100 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Kentucky +22.7 139.9 90% 53–99 ✓
Louisiana @ McNeese — — — 62–88 —
Coastal Carolina @ Jacksonville State — — — 67–74 —
Norfolk State @ Towson +6.0 126.0 62% 41–51 ✓
South Carolina State @ Charleston +11.6 139.9 84% 61–88 ✓
The Citadel @ West Georgia +9.0 138.8 81% 92–100 ✓
Stonehill @ Fairfield +11.2 141.6 87% 71–73 ✓
Fordham @ Iona +13.6 143.7 85% 71–76 ✓
Furman @ Northern Iowa +13.4 131.1 83% 54–70 ✓
UAlbany @ Rhode Island +16.1 135.3 88% 61–80 ✓
Hofstra @ Bucknell — — — 83–77 —
SIU Edwardsville @ Drake +5.4 144.8 81% 61–59 ✗
High Point @ UAB -0.9 149.9 65% 74–91 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Ole Miss +16.0 138.7 89% 60–82 ✓
Illinois State @ USC — — — 67–87 —
LSU New Orleans @ Tulane +7.6 142.3 82% 85–63 ✗
Milwaukee @ Texas Tech +21.1 160.7 90% 63–80 ✓
Samford @ Arkansas +15.3 157.9 86% 75–79 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Creighton +14.1 135.6 89% 45–84 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Rice +8.9 137.9 85% 64–71 ✓
UCF @ Texas A&M +8.7 158.1 77% 86–74 ✗
Xavier @ Iowa +15.0 138.8 87% 62–81 ✓
Hampton @ Brown +2.1 142.4 58% 72–63 ✗
Northwestern @ DePaul -8.5 128.6 22% 81–79 ✓
Michigan @ TCU +0.4 157.9 47% 67–63 ✗
Colgate @ Illinois +25.0 151.1 91% 65–84 ✓
North Carolina Central @ North Carolina +24.9 148.6 91% 53–97 ✓
Cal Poly @ Montana +4.9 148.4 71% 82–90 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Georgia +23.9 149.0 90% 87–92 ✓
Sacramento State @ UC Davis — — — 73–77 —
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin — — — 66–76 —
Providence @ Colorado +5.7 164.2 68% 88–97 ✓
Tarleton State @ Baylor +18.7 152.8 89% 81–94 ✓
Utah Tech @ Mississippi Valley State -13.3 144.4 13% 81–75 ✓
Arizona @ UCLA -5.9 145.1 30% 69–65 ✓
North Texas @ Saint Mary's +8.7 128.5 78% 49–80 ✓
Troy @ Loyola Marymount +3.1 145.4 64% 63–74 ✓
Western Illinois @ California Baptist — — — 59–69 —
Gonzaga @ Arizona State -2.6 142.1 22% 77–65 ✓
Washington @ Washington State -8.0 145.5 25% 81–69 ✓
Manhattan @ Hawai'i +9.0 153.4 85% 56–86 ✓
South Alabama @ Coppin State -14.8 133.9 12% 72–62 ✓
Ohio @ Louisville +25.4 154.7 91% 81–106 ✓
Marshall @ Virginia +7.2 146.3 66% 78–104 ✓
Clemson @ Georgetown -3.5 135.1 29% 74–79 ✗
Kansas City @ Texas +27.5 150.5 91% 55–71 ✓
Delaware State @ New Haven -1.1 125.0 35% 52–65 ✗
Vermont @ Northeastern — — — 85–74 —
Merrimack @ Boston University +11.5 137.3 84% 91–79 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Toledo +8.1 150.5 83% 83–90 ✓
Jacksonville @ VMI +0.5 144.0 67% 69–67 ✗
Chattanooga @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.0 143.9 76% 73–91 ✓
Kent State @ Cleveland State — — — 102–95 —
Penn State @ La Salle -12.8 138.4 18% 83–69 ✓
Stony Brook @ Yale — — — 79–86 —
Princeton @ Kansas +16.6 142.8 89% 57–76 ✓
Austin Peay @ UNC Greensboro -4.9 141.8 41% 69–63 ✓
UTSA @ Denver +12.5 146.8 83% 84–79 ✗
New Hampshire @ George Mason — — — 44–61 —
Mercer @ Winthrop +6.7 150.5 78% 69–105 ✓
Wofford @ Bellarmine +1.6 132.6 51% 94–86 ✗
Maryland @ Marquette +10.4 142.9 80% 89–82 ✗
UIC @ Chicago State -6.9 156.2 34% 67–63 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Air Force — — — 76–61 —
Loyola Maryland @ Stonehill +1.2 131.3 49% 74–63 ✗
Butler @ SMU +2.1 152.4 68% 85–87 ✓
Boston College @ Temple +10.6 135.7 77% 76–71 ✗
Harvard @ Army +2.0 147.8 66% 75–52 ✗
St. Thomas @ Southeast Missouri State +7.8 142.2 82% 84–72 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Vanderbilt +27.4 159.6 91% 75–104 ✓
East Tennessee State @ North Alabama +1.8 140.0 73% 78–74 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Queens University +7.2 144.5 80% 64–81 ✓
Binghamton @ Longwood +8.1 137.9 83% 82–90 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Mississippi State +13.8 136.5 86% 68–75 ✓
Wright State @ Radford +4.5 141.0 63% 92–59 ✗
Drexel @ Syracuse +12.9 137.6 80% 50–80 ✓
UTEP @ Utah State — — — 51–75 —
Montana State @ Boise State +17.1 140.3 88% 58–62 ✓
Idaho @ UC San Diego +11.5 141.3 86% 67–75 ✓
Youngstown State @ St. Bonaventure +5.3 144.4 78% 80–84 ✓
Morgan State @ Mercyhurst +8.1 133.2 70% 72–86 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ NJIT +8.1 143.1 78% 81–93 ✓
Texas Southern @ Texas State +12.9 142.4 88% 67–77 ✓
North Dakota @ UC Riverside +14.1 145.7 85% 76–74 ✗
Pacific @ Cal State Fullerton +2.6 140.9 71% 85–73 ✗
Nicholls @ Murray State +12.0 145.2 84% 79–99 ✓
William & Mary @ St. John's +5.5 167.3 82% 60–93 ✓
Bowling Green @ Davidson +4.1 132.3 74% 87–91 ✓
Missouri State @ UT Arlington — — — 49–67 —
Old Dominion @ George Washington +18.9 140.9 90% 73–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.