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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–13 on winners spread MAE 8.7 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
The Citadel @ South Carolina +24.0 147.6 90% 55–71 ✓
Georgia Southern @ West Georgia +1.2 153.8 57% 91–85 ✗
Arizona State @ Santa Clara +3.2 147.0 60% 82–79 ✗
Stanford @ San José State -4.0 142.8 35% 86–82 ✓
North Florida @ Dayton +20.2 157.0 91% 61–84 ✓
Indiana @ Kentucky +5.5 150.7 72% 60–72 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland -8.9 156.6 23% 101–83 ✓
Rutgers @ Seton Hall +10.1 138.9 83% 59–81 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Grand Canyon +13.3 133.8 86% 61–82 ✓
West Virginia @ Ohio State +3.2 136.5 65% 88–89 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Louis +12.3 146.8 86% 75–85 ✓
SMU @ LSU -0.1 156.3 51% 77–89 ✗
UC Riverside @ BYU +21.4 149.7 91% 53–100 ✓
Arizona @ Alabama -0.7 173.6 41% 96–75 ✓
Pepperdine @ Cal State Bakersfield +2.4 141.0 66% 70–62 ✗
Tennessee State @ UNLV +7.3 152.8 77% 63–60 ✗
Mississippi State @ Utah -0.3 156.4 42% 82–74 ✓
Duquesne @ Nevada +11.6 151.5 86% 75–78 ✓
UCLA @ Gonzaga +11.4 141.5 79% 72–82 ✓
Tulane @ UC San Diego +12.4 147.6 83% 67–93 ✓
UTEP @ Hawai'i +11.4 131.4 86% 61–66 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Virginia Tech +20.4 143.7 90% 53–82 ✓
Saint Francis @ Temple +16.9 146.6 90% 67–95 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Iowa State +27.8 145.9 91% 53–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Minnesota +18.4 142.7 90% 53–89 ✓
Buffalo @ East Carolina -4.8 139.7 37% 70–73 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Missouri +21.8 144.4 90% 60–82 ✓
Merrimack @ Vermont +8.0 139.1 80% 59–66 ✓
High Point @ App State -12.9 141.9 16% 78–86 ✗
Monmouth @ Fairfield +1.8 146.5 61% 65–73 ✓
Ball State @ Campbell +8.4 138.9 81% 64–69 ✓
Indiana State @ Milwaukee +3.4 150.7 66% 70–68 ✗
Coppin State @ Radford +15.7 153.2 89% 77–107 ✓
Troy @ UAB +8.7 154.8 82% 86–85 ✗
Western Michigan @ Iowa +22.7 133.6 90% 51–91 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ New Mexico +15.9 160.1 88% 59–75 ✓
Charlotte @ Charleston +3.4 135.3 70% 67–74 ✓
Kent State @ Portland -3.9 161.2 32% 78–88 ✗
Queens University @ Wake Forest +16.5 159.6 89% 73–111 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne +7.2 152.2 80% 77–81 ✓
Chicago State @ Loyola Chicago +9.0 135.9 83% 84–75 ✗
North Texas @ South Alabama +3.0 134.5 68% 58–57 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Boise State -2.2 137.2 42% 67–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.