I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–13 on winners spread MAE 8.8 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
The Citadel @ South Carolina +27.3 145.5 91% 55–71 ✓
Georgia Southern @ West Georgia +3.4 152.8 64% 91–85 ✗
Arizona State @ Santa Clara +1.9 149.5 57% 82–79 ✗
Stanford @ San José State -2.5 144.5 36% 86–82 ✓
North Florida @ Dayton +21.7 152.1 91% 61–84 ✓
Indiana @ Kentucky +6.7 152.7 71% 60–72 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland -18.3 155.2 14% 101–83 ✓
Rutgers @ Seton Hall +15.2 137.1 88% 59–81 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Grand Canyon +10.5 136.9 81% 61–82 ✓
West Virginia @ Ohio State +2.5 136.8 61% 88–89 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Louis +18.5 144.4 88% 75–85 ✓
SMU @ LSU -0.6 156.1 50% 77–89 ✗
UC Riverside @ BYU +26.2 150.2 91% 53–100 ✓
Arizona @ Alabama -2.8 169.5 37% 96–75 ✓
Pepperdine @ Cal State Bakersfield +2.9 141.2 51% 70–62 ✗
Tennessee State @ UNLV +6.1 155.7 74% 63–60 ✗
Mississippi State @ Utah -0.7 155.0 49% 82–74 ✓
Duquesne @ Nevada +12.7 151.7 85% 75–78 ✓
UCLA @ Gonzaga +13.2 145.1 81% 72–82 ✓
Tulane @ UC San Diego +10.7 148.5 82% 67–93 ✓
UTEP @ Hawai'i +14.9 133.8 87% 61–66 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Virginia Tech +22.0 141.6 91% 53–82 ✓
Saint Francis @ Temple +18.1 148.0 90% 67–95 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Iowa State +34.3 146.7 91% 53–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Minnesota +16.5 141.3 89% 53–89 ✓
Buffalo @ East Carolina -7.8 140.2 26% 70–73 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Missouri +15.9 145.9 87% 60–82 ✓
Merrimack @ Vermont +9.7 140.1 81% 59–66 ✓
High Point @ App State -12.0 141.1 17% 78–86 ✗
Monmouth @ Fairfield +3.3 147.0 63% 65–73 ✓
Ball State @ Campbell +8.5 140.8 76% 64–69 ✓
Indiana State @ Milwaukee +2.1 148.9 57% 70–68 ✗
Coppin State @ Radford +15.9 149.1 88% 77–107 ✓
Troy @ UAB +10.2 155.2 82% 86–85 ✗
Western Michigan @ Iowa +21.0 138.5 90% 51–91 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ New Mexico +14.7 160.7 88% 59–75 ✓
Charlotte @ Charleston +3.2 134.4 69% 67–74 ✓
Kent State @ Portland -1.0 165.6 44% 78–88 ✗
Queens University @ Wake Forest +19.3 157.5 88% 73–111 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.8 153.0 71% 77–81 ✓
Chicago State @ Loyola Chicago +6.7 136.6 77% 84–75 ✗
North Texas @ South Alabama +5.1 134.7 69% 58–57 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Boise State -0.3 135.6 48% 67–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.