What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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17–15 on winners spread MAE 9.7 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Grambling @ Jackson State -5.8 140.1 24% 65–68 ✗
Siena @ Merrimack -0.2 129.3 49% 64–54 ✓
Montana @ Portland State +2.9 143.3 64% 75–72 ✗
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +6.7 147.7 76% 68–79 ✓
New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State -1.4 139.9 43% 68–63 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ McNeese +5.5 135.3 73% 80–84 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Colorado +1.3 163.3 45% 92–83 ✗
Idaho @ Eastern Washington -1.1 146.3 47% 81–68 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ La Salle -3.1 143.3 34% 99–80 ✓
Maryland @ Iowa +11.0 132.8 85% 64–75 ✓
Pittsburgh @ NC State +8.1 143.3 78% 88–98 ✓
Arizona State @ Iowa State +11.0 144.8 84% 42–91 ✓
LSU @ Kentucky +7.3 153.3 76% 82–87 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +2.7 148.2 62% 71–67 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Richmond +7.9 137.2 78% 75–67 ✗
USC @ Washington +2.5 149.4 61% 79–83 ✓
SMU @ Louisville +5.5 160.8 73% 58–62 ✓
Wyoming @ UNLV -1.3 149.6 41% 70–73 ✗
Mississippi State @ Auburn +8.7 158.9 81% 61–79 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF -2.2 147.8 39% 65–66 ✗
Providence @ Butler +0.3 163.8 52% 91–81 ✗
McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin -2.1 134.5 40% 76–59 ✓
Air Force @ Nevada +17.4 137.2 89% 45–80 ✓
Delaware State @ Morgan State +3.6 136.6 71% 75–70 ✗
Xavier @ Marquette +1.9 150.4 55% 89–87 ✗
Missouri State @ Liberty +4.6 143.6 69% 77–69 ✗
Northwestern @ Indiana +4.5 139.7 67% 74–61 ✗
Ole Miss @ Texas +8.2 149.6 76% 76–66 ✗
Boston University @ Lehigh +1.6 145.6 60% 60–74 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +4.2 147.7 72% 81–69 ✗
California @ Florida State -0.5 147.8 49% 89–95 ✗
BYU @ West Virginia -5.7 139.5 33% 68–48 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.