That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–10 on winners spread MAE 9.2 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Marquette @ Dayton +0.9 151.1 63% 63–71 ✓
Green Bay @ UC Santa Barbara +15.5 149.1 89% 66–83 ✓
San Diego @ Fresno State +6.2 143.5 70% 65–73 ✓
Drexel @ UAlbany +2.6 145.1 60% 77–70 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Mount St. Mary's +6.4 142.0 74% 77–69 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Davidson +10.6 149.1 82% 51–86 ✓
Radford @ Utah +14.1 143.6 86% 63–81 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Liberty +24.4 143.3 91% 74–83 ✓
VCU @ Colorado State -5.3 136.0 27% 76–68 ✓
Gonzaga @ UConn -5.2 151.3 35% 71–77 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma +4.7 151.2 71% 65–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Eastern Kentucky +10.0 141.1 82% 66–81 ✓
Bowling Green @ Kansas City +1.9 139.5 54% 77–85 ✓
Creighton @ Alabama +13.7 159.0 88% 75–83 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Boise State -2.7 141.5 41% 65–67 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Loyola Marymount +12.9 148.3 87% 75–76 ✓
Wyoming @ BYU +11.3 143.6 78% 49–68 ✓
Cal Poly @ San José State +3.0 152.5 60% 100–107 ✓
Texas Southern @ Nevada +20.4 143.1 90% 73–105 ✓
UC Davis @ Sacramento State -2.7 133.0 37% 69–62 ✓
Pacific @ UNLV +8.5 137.3 80% 65–72 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Hawai'i +1.3 147.9 52% 62–71 ✓
South Alabama @ East Texas A&M -3.4 134.9 35% 81–72 ✓
Temple @ Hofstra +4.9 142.6 71% 60–42 ✗
Navy @ Virginia Tech +11.7 138.9 85% 72–80 ✓
Omaha @ Iowa State +27.5 148.7 90% 51–83 ✓
Northeastern @ Old Dominion -9.1 140.3 20% 75–71 ✓
Norfolk State @ Northern Kentucky -0.4 137.2 51% 62–71 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Rhode Island +11.3 137.0 84% 69–77 ✓
Akron @ Milwaukee -0.7 154.7 48% 81–100 ✗
UIC @ Little Rock +4.3 140.4 69% 77–69 ✗
Campbell @ Morgan State -5.9 142.8 21% 76–86 ✗
Vermont @ Colgate +2.7 128.3 61% 60–65 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Chattanooga +15.4 148.6 89% 63–85 ✓
Chicago State @ Mercer +14.3 150.7 88% 63–75 ✓
Western Michigan @ North Dakota State +10.3 144.6 82% 62–98 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Eastern Michigan -3.1 149.8 39% 99–76 ✓
Presbyterian @ Miami +6.5 142.1 76% 75–94 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Iowa +22.1 154.7 90% 57–104 ✓
UTSA @ North Dakota +1.8 149.6 54% 95–85 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas +35.0 157.6 91% 57–121 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Northwestern +6.2 136.3 67% 60–71 ✓
Stonehill @ Boston College +5.8 139.6 69% 69–73 ✓
Denver @ Cal State Fullerton +3.8 137.3 66% 59–74 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Kent State +16.4 127.8 88% 57–82 ✓
Saint Louis @ Illinois State +4.5 151.5 70% 77–81 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Oregon +18.6 133.3 90% 61–79 ✓
Arkansas State @ UAB -0.2 150.3 44% 98–89 ✓
San Francisco @ Loyola Chicago -3.9 137.6 35% 76–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.