I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–8 on winners spread MAE 13.2 90 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oakland @ Purdue +25.0 146.2 90% 77–87 ✓
Valparaiso @ Kentucky +17.2 134.5 87% 59–107 ✓
Kansas @ North Carolina +8.1 140.9 73% 74–87 ✓
Arkansas State @ Stephen F. Austin — — — 65–90 —
Alabama State @ Florida State — — — 64–101 —
Winthrop @ George Mason +10.9 135.0 79% 90–96 ✓
Troy @ Furman -5.8 160.1 29% 64–61 ✓
Hofstra @ Iona — — — 73–81 —
Washington State @ Davidson — — — 69–85 —
Western Illinois @ Iowa +16.7 150.6 85% 58–77 ✓
Cornell @ Kent State — — — 102–110 —
Tennessee Tech @ Charlotte +13.5 149.4 83% 65–70 ✓
Georgia State @ Cincinnati +20.0 137.9 88% 64–74 ✓
Siena @ Brown — — — 62–46 —
Morehead State @ Wake Forest — — — 65–81 —
North Carolina Central @ Virginia +27.0 146.1 90% 62–81 ✓
Longwood @ Pittsburgh — — — 60–78 —
Detroit Mercy @ Notre Dame +18.9 147.6 88% 70–102 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Duquesne — — — 80–92 —
Gardner-Webb @ Clemson +26.1 134.7 90% 59–97 ✓
Bucknell @ Mount St. Mary's +5.1 135.3 66% 73–62 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UConn — — — 47–110 —
UL Monroe @ Ole Miss +18.8 146.5 88% 65–86 ✓
Wagner @ Seton Hall +21.5 138.1 88% 61–68 ✓
Bryant @ Georgia Tech +4.0 132.5 67% 45–74 ✓
Sam Houston @ Texas Tech — — — 77–98 —
Southeast Missouri State @ Missouri +26.5 145.4 90% 84–89 ✓
Kansas City @ Southern Illinois — — — 78–101 —
Mississippi Valley State @ Murray State +21.4 151.3 90% 60–108 ✓
Stonehill @ DePaul — — — 64–72 —
VCU @ Utah State — — — 77–80 —
Nicholls @ Eastern Illinois +13.0 132.3 86% 57–65 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Illinois — — — 70–113 —
Northern Illinois @ Wisconsin +14.6 153.9 83% 72–97 ✓
South Carolina State @ Samford +15.1 142.6 88% 72–82 ✓
VMI @ Southern Indiana — — — 78–74 —
SE Louisiana @ Louisiana +9.1 139.5 79% 52–58 ✓
Utah Tech @ Arizona +12.1 151.0 77% 67–93 ✓
Idaho State @ San Diego — — — 71–68 —
Youngstown State @ Grand Canyon +15.0 142.6 82% 90–81 ✗
Yale @ Navy — — — 97–68 —
UAB @ NC State +9.7 149.4 78% 70–94 ✓
Rice @ Oregon — — — 63–67 —
McNeese @ Santa Clara — — — 67–79 —
UIC @ Oregon State +4.8 141.9 63% 73–76 ✓
Pepperdine @ UCLA — — — 63–74 —
Chattanooga @ Saint Mary's — — — 66–87 —
California Baptist @ UC Irvine — — — 69–61 —
Alabama @ St. John's +15.1 153.3 83% 103–96 ✗
Alcorn State @ Minnesota +14.3 147.3 85% 50–95 ✓
Princeton @ Akron — — — 69–104 —
Kennesaw State @ Florida A&M — — — 92–72 —
Penn State @ New Haven +0.0 132.9 51% 87–43 ✗
Florida International @ Nebraska — — — 66–96 —
Drexel @ Saint Joseph's — — — 65–76 —
Delaware State @ Syracuse +20.7 138.0 89% 43–83 ✓
Western Carolina @ Duke +21.4 140.7 89% 54–95 ✓
South Florida @ George Washington -1.5 135.8 38% 95–99 ✗
Texas State @ Tulane +16.8 140.3 85% 71–79 ✓
Marshall @ Toledo -4.4 144.7 38% 85–73 ✓
Fairfield @ NJIT +15.9 137.5 81% 74–53 ✗
Milwaukee @ Wofford +5.2 134.6 65% 76–86 ✓
UMBC @ Dayton — — — 71–77 —
Niagara @ Binghamton +1.8 136.4 46% 67–59 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Saint Peter's +5.9 131.0 66% 83–93 ✓
Towson @ Houston +8.8 133.8 76% 48–65 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Tennessee — — — 56–95 —
UNC Asheville @ Georgia Southern +10.4 145.2 80% 90–93 ✓
Lafayette @ Texas +0.6 139.5 58% 60–97 ✓
San Francisco @ Memphis — — — 70–76 —
Monmouth @ La Salle — — — 60–73 —
San José State @ UC Santa Barbara — — — 74–85 —
Elon @ UNC Greensboro — — — 92–90 —
William & Mary @ Norfolk State — — — 81–78 —
Vanderbilt @ UCF +0.8 149.9 44% 105–93 ✗
UT Arlington @ New Mexico — — — 56–74 —
Utah Valley @ Boise State — — — 77–101 —
Cal State Fullerton @ Wyoming — — — 82–92 —
Austin Peay @ Air Force — — — 74–54 —
Eastern Washington @ Colorado +4.9 143.9 62% 97–102 ✓
Montana @ Stanford — — — 68–91 —
Canisius @ St. Bonaventure +16.7 133.8 88% 70–89 ✓
Providence @ Virginia Tech +3.3 148.6 66% 101–107 ✓
Long Beach State @ Fresno State +6.8 130.7 77% 62–82 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Butler +20.7 155.0 88% 80–112 ✓
Maine @ Stony Brook — — — 60–71 —
UAlbany @ Massachusetts +4.6 136.4 71% 62–83 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Charleston -0.8 146.9 48% 94–77 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Presbyterian — — — 64–68 —
East Carolina @ Richmond — — — 72–87 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.