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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–11 on winners spread MAE 11.8 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Bucknell @ St. John's +20.4 149.3 90% 49–97 ✓
Tennessee State @ Tennessee +17.7 150.9 89% 60–89 ✓
Colgate @ Cornell +4.1 150.4 62% 94–95 ✓
Nebraska @ New Mexico -4.0 140.0 32% 84–72 ✓
Texas Southern @ Vanderbilt +25.0 158.7 91% 74–109 ✓
Northeastern @ Princeton -2.2 137.5 38% 57–70 ✗
Pacific @ Florida Atlantic +4.0 148.4 68% 59–82 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Queens University +12.3 147.9 86% 94–101 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Central Michigan +9.8 138.4 81% 90–66 ✗
Chicago State @ Iowa +21.9 148.1 91% 54–93 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Miami (OH) +11.0 136.1 82% 71–76 ✓
Pittsburgh @ UCF -1.7 141.2 48% 67–77 ✗
Long Island University @ Fordham +0.6 137.6 45% 53–69 ✓
Elon @ Miami +18.0 159.1 88% 72–99 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ohio State +14.3 149.2 86% 58–91 ✓
Tarleton State @ Rice +2.9 143.7 59% 90–74 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Oklahoma +18.0 155.2 89% 71–95 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Texas +16.1 132.0 88% 56–74 ✓
South Dakota @ Missouri +16.0 157.1 88% 68–102 ✓
Wake Forest @ Texas Tech +3.7 149.3 65% 83–84 ✓
Rider @ Houston +23.8 129.8 90% 45–91 ✓
Cal Poly @ Utah +5.8 149.5 73% 92–85 ✗
Mississippi State @ Kansas State +2.8 157.0 67% 77–98 ✓
Troy @ USC +14.5 162.2 86% 106–107 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ UNLV +13.2 150.8 86% 85–99 ✓
Arizona State @ Hawai'i +11.0 136.2 82% 83–76 ✗
Green Bay @ Yale +15.1 149.7 86% 67–73 ✓
Utah State @ Tulane -7.8 140.2 22% 96–75 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Alabama State +0.9 158.1 53% 80–101 ✓
Butler @ South Carolina -3.3 149.8 37% 79–72 ✓
Massachusetts @ Charleston -6.3 146.5 25% 65–69 ✗
Campbell @ UT Arlington +2.3 140.4 62% 71–67 ✗
Davidson @ Boston College -3.0 132.9 34% 59–49 ✓
Wisconsin @ BYU +6.6 148.1 70% 70–98 ✓
Northwestern @ Virginia +0.1 140.9 50% 78–83 ✓
Iona @ Akron +2.1 160.1 56% 75–96 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Florida State +17.7 163.9 88% 72–98 ✓
Lafayette @ Stonehill +8.5 140.7 80% 70–74 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Air Force -2.4 127.2 37% 63–77 ✗
Columbia @ Lehigh +2.7 133.1 54% 82–67 ✗
Louisville @ Cincinnati -3.5 151.0 35% 74–64 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Michigan State +22.4 145.3 90% 56–84 ✓
Oakland @ Eastern Michigan +7.3 143.3 74% 91–97 ✓
Charlotte @ App State +1.7 136.3 51% 63–65 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Rutgers +10.5 135.1 83% 67–54 ✗
West Virginia @ Clemson +2.1 126.1 60% 67–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.