You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–15 on winners spread MAE 9.3 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Peter's @ Duquesne +0.5 130.3 59% 62–59 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ East Carolina +5.8 142.0 71% 67–53 ✗
Brown @ Vermont +2.9 136.2 61% 60–53 ✗
Northwestern @ Iowa +6.4 141.8 80% 79–80 ✓
Army @ Le Moyne +2.3 145.6 63% 103–100 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Akron +9.3 148.6 80% 73–86 ✓
Dartmouth @ New Hampshire +0.6 142.5 47% 69–65 ✗
Santa Clara @ McNeese +6.8 141.4 69% 74–67 ✗
East Tennessee State @ James Madison +4.8 140.9 66% 61–71 ✓
Presbyterian @ Florida A&M -3.9 143.1 39% 63–66 ✗
High Point @ UNC Greensboro +5.1 134.2 73% 68–72 ✓
Western Michigan @ Dayton +21.3 146.5 89% 69–77 ✓
UNC Asheville @ George Mason +12.6 148.9 85% 52–74 ✓
Arkansas @ Miami -3.6 148.2 27% 76–73 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia +11.9 142.0 85% 48–69 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hampton +4.0 147.5 73% 71–82 ✓
Stetson @ South Florida +12.8 149.4 87% 72–74 ✓
Winthrop @ Queens University -2.1 151.0 38% 86–78 ✓
Lipscomb @ Chattanooga +0.8 144.4 57% 80–62 ✗
California @ Missouri +9.4 151.0 82% 93–98 ✓
South Carolina @ Boston College +3.3 140.7 66% 73–51 ✗
Princeton @ Saint Joseph's +5.9 145.6 72% 77–69 ✗
La Salle @ Northeastern +2.0 141.3 56% 68–82 ✓
Syracuse @ Tennessee +20.9 148.3 90% 70–96 ✓
UT Martin @ Charleston Southern +1.0 141.0 62% 68–83 ✓
Sam Houston @ Indiana +11.7 150.9 84% 71–97 ✓
Evansville @ Murray State +11.7 142.7 87% 61–63 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois -0.9 146.7 40% 83–60 ✓
Alabama State @ SMU +18.7 153.8 89% 72–101 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Loyola Chicago +17.0 145.8 89% 54–76 ✓
Michigan @ Wisconsin +5.3 145.0 63% 67–64 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Oklahoma +12.6 149.8 86% 61–76 ✓
Wake Forest @ Texas A&M +12.4 135.4 86% 44–57 ✓
Ole Miss @ Louisville +6.0 146.7 71% 86–63 ✗
Hawai'i @ Grand Canyon +8.4 145.1 81% 72–78 ✓
San Diego @ Arizona State +18.4 147.4 89% 53–90 ✓
Utah Tech @ Boise State +21.4 147.4 90% 64–87 ✓
Florida State @ LSU +5.7 151.2 73% 75–85 ✓
BYU @ Providence -1.4 142.4 37% 64–83 ✗
Kentucky @ Clemson +1.9 148.4 73% 66–70 ✓
UTSA @ Saint Mary's +22.7 145.9 90% 74–82 ✓
Utah Valley @ Stanford +9.7 142.0 81% 63–77 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +13.3 133.2 87% 58–69 ✓
West Georgia @ Mercer +7.0 145.0 76% 72–86 ✓
Harvard @ Holy Cross +2.5 138.9 63% 67–68 ✓
Baylor @ UConn +4.8 146.4 70% 72–76 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida International -3.6 153.0 32% 88–77 ✓
Columbia @ UAlbany -1.4 147.2 47% 73–88 ✗
Ohio State @ Maryland +4.8 145.0 67% 59–83 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis -1.4 155.5 50% 75–84 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.