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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–18 on winners spread MAE 8.5 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Winthrop @ Longwood +2.7 160.8 71% 85–59 ✗
North Texas @ Florida Atlantic -0.8 136.6 40% 71–61 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University +3.5 120.2 61% 47–60 ✓
Stonehill @ Fairleigh Dickinson +2.6 138.9 70% 69–82 ✓
Chicago State @ Mercyhurst +6.7 141.2 80% 68–90 ✓
Le Moyne @ Central Connecticut +14.6 145.4 88% 75–84 ✓
Maine @ New Hampshire -7.3 135.1 23% 73–66 ✓
Vermont @ NJIT -8.3 130.0 17% 71–61 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Green Bay +2.7 146.0 68% 71–76 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne +7.7 151.6 76% 79–74 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Campbell -1.5 137.8 39% 79–60 ✓
Elon @ Monmouth -1.3 141.5 60% 76–79 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Northeastern +9.4 141.1 81% 55–69 ✓
Hampton @ Drexel +3.9 132.4 66% 52–53 ✓
William & Mary @ Towson +7.5 143.5 79% 73–88 ✓
Delaware @ Charleston +8.4 158.4 83% 84–94 ✓
Hofstra @ Stony Brook -6.1 131.9 30% 56–59 ✗
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro +2.6 140.3 64% 75–63 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Florida International -3.3 140.3 42% 61–76 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Liberty +7.2 132.8 78% 55–59 ✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee +4.0 144.3 68% 66–71 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State -1.5 130.4 52% 52–67 ✗
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -10.5 151.0 22% 77–69 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas +10.0 159.2 84% 71–86 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +6.7 136.2 70% 56–64 ✓
Western Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +5.8 143.4 76% 82–69 ✗
Southern Indiana @ UT Martin +5.9 146.1 76% 63–79 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ SIU Edwardsville +1.6 139.9 54% 83–68 ✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee State +5.6 143.4 70% 55–64 ✓
Little Rock @ Eastern Illinois -3.9 130.4 34% 60–71 ✗
Rutgers @ Michigan +9.5 155.2 86% 82–84 ✓
UAB @ Wichita State +0.4 152.9 56% 80–72 ✗
Idaho State @ Idaho -1.3 144.6 38% 69–65 ✓
Weber State @ Eastern Washington +3.6 137.5 66% 66–64 ✗
Cleveland State @ Wright State -0.3 144.4 46% 76–82 ✗
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech +0.4 141.9 51% 82–75 ✗
UT Arlington @ Grand Canyon +11.2 150.0 86% 71–85 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UTEP +2.6 147.8 62% 80–73 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ New Mexico State +0.6 138.2 51% 71–66 ✗
San Diego @ Washington State +14.6 156.3 87% 86–93 ✓
Montana @ Sacramento State -7.3 139.1 21% 60–54 ✓
Montana State @ Portland State +1.9 137.4 61% 52–69 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -3.3 142.9 34% 77–71 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +7.0 159.0 79% 77–96 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -14.0 139.7 14% 76–51 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State -3.3 135.0 36% 88–87 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland -0.1 154.3 51% 67–87 ✗
California Baptist @ Seattle U +2.6 138.2 65% 48–72 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount -13.5 132.8 14% 58–55 ✓
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i -0.5 141.2 51% 82–76 ✓
Brown @ Harvard -0.6 142.8 44% 59–52 ✓
Yale @ Dartmouth -7.8 150.0 22% 72–67 ✓
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan -3.4 144.5 46% 73–84 ✗
Iona @ Niagara -0.8 137.4 35% 65–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.