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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
36–10 on winners
spread MAE 6.1
46 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+3.7 | 140.5 | 70% | 76–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.5 | 140.8 | 87% | 63–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.2 | 137.5 | 61% | 62–66 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.7 | 152.8 | 48% | 97–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.2 | 133.3 | 73% | 56–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.8 | 141.9 | 83% | 57–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.7 | 140.5 | 62% | 66–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.7 | 129.1 | 84% | 55–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.5 | 147.5 | 60% | 81–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.5 | 154.0 | 76% | 94–98 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.8 | 149.9 | 75% | 53–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.8 | 146.2 | 58% | 91–83 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.5 | 147.2 | 80% | 75–98 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.4 | 151.7 | 41% | 86–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.1 | 152.9 | 82% | 67–96 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.7 | 130.1 | 58% | 59–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.3 | 143.9 | 88% | 70–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.3 | 147.5 | 82% | 57–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.6 | 142.3 | 60% | 59–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.0 | 149.9 | 45% | 92–96 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.1 | 141.5 | 62% | 68–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.4 | 146.6 | 57% | 80–83 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.8 | 155.2 | 39% | 85–90 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.3 | 138.8 | 47% | 84–79 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.8 | 140.0 | 57% | 75–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.7 | 139.8 | 70% | 63–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.2 | 144.8 | 34% | 89–87 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.0 | 145.9 | 27% | 68–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.9 | 148.4 | 87% | 52–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.0 | 146.2 | 77% | 59–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.9 | 126.0 | 88% | 68–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.8 | 139.0 | 66% | 94–89 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.2 | 146.1 | 73% | 75–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.8 | 144.6 | 70% | 81–88 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.6 | 132.7 | 44% | 62–52 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.3 | 153.4 | 58% | 91–90 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.8 | 143.4 | 56% | 65–77 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.1 | 166.0 | 79% | 94–106 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.3 | 140.0 | 79% | 66–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.0 | 135.7 | 50% | 77–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.0 | 138.9 | 65% | 74–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.4 | 140.8 | 76% | 73–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.5 | 146.5 | 67% | 75–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.6 | 146.0 | 84% | 81–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.1 | 143.9 | 80% | 70–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.2 | 157.9 | 54% | 73–85 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.