The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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89–37 on winners spread MAE 8.4 126 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ Saint Louis +7.4 159.8 76% 75–88 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Iona +0.4 142.7 56% 64–72 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Fairfield +4.2 150.8 69% 68–78 ✓
Princeton @ Brown -0.1 133.0 45% 71–80 ✗
Milwaukee @ Detroit Mercy +1.5 149.2 61% 86–91 ✓
Green Bay @ Oakland +5.9 148.9 79% 73–68 ✗
Niagara @ Mount St. Mary's +5.8 132.2 70% 63–76 ✓
Canisius @ Rider +0.7 128.7 48% 72–66 ✗
Marist @ Manhattan -6.1 136.5 32% 84–70 ✓
Indiana @ Purdue +11.5 149.2 84% 64–93 ✓
Siena @ Merrimack +3.6 130.7 68% 72–79 ✓
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) +10.2 152.0 84% 77–91 ✓
Florida @ Ole Miss -10.6 148.6 17% 94–75 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's +12.8 153.5 86% 52–81 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Howard +12.6 139.6 88% 67–100 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Saint Joseph's +10.7 141.1 86% 61–75 ✓
East Carolina @ Charlotte +6.5 145.1 72% 56–68 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota +7.4 136.8 76% 61–80 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech +2.8 152.8 68% 63–82 ✓
Florida State @ Clemson +10.7 146.5 83% 70–65 ✗
Cincinnati @ Kansas +10.8 140.9 85% 84–68 ✗
North Carolina @ Syracuse -3.4 147.9 35% 77–64 ✓
Binghamton @ UMass Lowell +9.2 144.4 85% 79–92 ✓
UAlbany @ UMBC +6.7 139.4 76% 62–66 ✓
Western Carolina @ VMI -6.9 150.2 27% 81–62 ✓
Chattanooga @ The Citadel -4.4 144.0 38% 93–72 ✓
Texas State @ Louisiana -3.3 135.2 31% 54–67 ✗
Marshall @ Coastal Carolina -1.9 153.4 49% 75–79 ✗
Georgia Southern @ App State +7.3 147.1 79% 74–89 ✓
Mississippi State @ South Carolina +1.8 150.5 50% 89–97 ✓
Xavier @ Butler +5.2 156.3 68% 75–80 ✓
Navy @ Army -7.7 137.7 25% 81–63 ✓
Penn State @ Nebraska +15.2 145.8 90% 64–87 ✓
Miami @ Virginia +7.8 141.6 79% 83–86 ✓
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt +4.3 150.9 64% 69–65 ✗
Duquesne @ Dayton +6.7 152.0 75% 66–78 ✓
Davidson @ Fordham +0.1 130.5 46% 59–63 ✓
Notre Dame @ Pittsburgh +1.4 135.7 62% 68–73 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Colgate +7.5 148.0 82% 98–101 ✓
Dartmouth @ Columbia +5.0 147.1 72% 64–63 ✗
Kansas City @ North Dakota State +18.2 148.7 90% 59–95 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Chicago State -4.0 137.3 31% 51–70 ✗
Harvard @ Cornell +5.1 151.6 60% 73–54 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Yale +14.0 147.7 87% 70–74 ✓
Wagner @ Saint Francis -2.1 147.1 47% 65–56 ✓
Long Island University @ Mercyhurst -2.4 133.3 36% 83–91 ✗
Le Moyne @ Stonehill -2.8 133.1 43% 68–77 ✗
Hofstra @ Northeastern -8.0 144.2 22% 82–68 ✓
Samford @ Mercer +2.9 148.9 60% 86–89 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Florida Gulf Coast -0.6 151.1 54% 71–75 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee State +3.3 137.5 72% 53–80 ✓
Delaware @ Middle Tennessee +9.5 141.7 83% 66–78 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Louisville +18.8 161.5 90% 70–87 ✓
Kansas State @ Texas Tech +14.7 156.6 89% 72–100 ✓
Rhode Island @ La Salle -4.0 134.4 32% 46–59 ✗
Arizona @ Houston +3.6 135.2 67% 73–66 ✗
Valparaiso @ UIC +6.0 137.0 76% 71–67 ✗
Washington @ Maryland -4.3 139.2 36% 60–64 ✗
UNLV @ Air Force -13.1 147.8 16% 91–66 ✓
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +8.2 147.0 80% 83–91 ✓
Ohio @ Northern Illinois -3.7 145.9 37% 74–66 ✓
Arkansas State @ UL Monroe -12.1 163.4 14% 102–94 ✓
Old Dominion @ Southern Miss +2.8 145.6 67% 81–86 ✓
West Georgia @ Queens University +10.1 158.7 84% 84–91 ✓
Utah Valley @ UT Arlington -4.2 135.2 33% 66–54 ✓
Missouri State @ Florida International +3.5 151.9 67% 67–70 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Colorado +2.2 159.8 60% 69–83 ✓
Texas @ Georgia +4.2 160.3 65% 80–91 ✓
North Florida @ Stetson +2.7 163.1 60% 71–76 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Sam Houston +8.2 139.2 81% 78–82 ✓
James Madison @ Georgia State -1.4 138.8 45% 80–65 ✓
Missouri @ Arkansas +11.0 163.5 81% 86–94 ✓
Evansville @ Murray State +13.3 151.8 88% 75–88 ✓
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +9.6 137.2 86% 71–90 ✓
Arizona State @ Baylor +6.4 157.6 75% 68–73 ✓
Oregon @ USC +7.1 148.0 79% 71–70 ✗
Winthrop @ High Point +8.7 159.2 78% 87–89 ✓
Longwood @ Charleston Southern +3.6 152.6 60% 107–96 ✗
San José State @ Boise State +17.3 145.6 89% 69–84 ✓
Boston College @ SMU +16.4 145.8 87% 70–94 ✓
Maine @ New Hampshire +2.0 131.8 57% 61–58 ✗
Monmouth @ Charleston +5.4 143.1 76% 63–74 ✓
Hampton @ Stony Brook +3.2 135.0 66% 72–79 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Campbell -4.0 142.8 40% 73–68 ✓
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro -7.6 147.8 27% 87–75 ✓
Troy @ South Alabama -0.1 148.3 53% 54–65 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Little Rock -2.1 137.2 44% 70–65 ✓
Lindenwood @ Tennessee Tech -0.1 146.1 56% 57–72 ✗
Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian +5.7 137.0 74% 83–87 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Liberty +8.6 146.9 79% 94–73 ✗
Radford @ UNC Asheville +3.6 146.2 65% 73–74 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Coppin State -3.1 128.0 40% 65–71 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ SE Louisiana -4.3 133.6 28% 96–75 ✓
Houston Christian @ Northwestern State +2.0 130.6 65% 53–71 ✓
Morehead State @ Western Illinois -7.7 141.3 21% 81–59 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Eastern Illinois +3.8 135.9 60% 70–68 ✗
Jackson State @ Alcorn State -0.3 145.4 44% 65–83 ✗
Delaware State @ Morgan State +4.5 135.6 74% 68–82 ✓
West Virginia @ TCU +4.7 132.8 70% 54–60 ✓
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +1.8 144.5 61% 70–83 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Toledo +6.1 142.7 74% 75–94 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Riverside -1.8 146.3 44% 78–73 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Portland State +6.0 148.6 75% 67–55 ✗
Utah Tech @ Tarleton State +1.9 142.6 65% 80–72 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Kennesaw State +5.3 145.2 67% 55–58 ✓
Presbyterian @ South Carolina Upstate +0.7 137.8 53% 74–76 ✓
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +12.1 149.0 87% 51–73 ✓
UConn @ Villanova +1.0 140.0 65% 73–63 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +5.5 139.9 77% 76–85 ✓
Alabama @ LSU -3.8 177.1 24% 90–83 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa +6.8 136.3 74% 59–57 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ San Diego -0.6 149.8 49% 77–65 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Richmond +3.1 145.0 60% 94–99 ✓
Temple @ Wichita State +9.3 142.6 82% 57–69 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +4.2 139.3 72% 73–87 ✓
San Diego State @ Colorado State -0.8 138.7 53% 74–83 ✗
Stanford @ California +3.0 146.6 67% 66–72 ✓
St. Thomas @ Denver -2.9 158.4 32% 80–82 ✗
Buffalo @ Massachusetts +4.4 150.9 74% 86–82 ✗
Nicholls @ Stephen F. Austin +11.6 143.6 85% 78–81 ✓
Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M -0.5 140.7 47% 82–73 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho State -1.0 141.0 51% 76–91 ✗
Georgetown @ Seton Hall +4.5 134.9 65% 47–51 ✓
Michigan @ Duke -1.9 147.0 50% 63–68 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +3.2 156.2 71% 82–84 ✓
Alabama State @ Florida A&M -1.3 141.5 41% 63–76 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.