Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
29–7 on winners spread MAE 11.1 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Le Moyne @ UConn +30.3 155.1 91% 49–90 ✓
Montana @ Tennessee +32.2 129.9 90% 57–92 ✓
Tennessee State @ Howard -3.4 142.1 31% 84–88 ✗
Georgia State @ Jacksonville State +5.4 144.1 83% 67–72 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ NC State +16.1 136.0 87% 70–82 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Bucknell +16.0 148.6 87% 93–89 ✗
Harvard @ Northeastern +5.5 144.5 76% 56–78 ✓
Wright State @ Toledo +10.7 154.8 82% 77–86 ✓
Wofford @ Presbyterian +7.8 138.1 77% 68–71 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Florida Gulf Coast -2.9 130.1 32% 74–65 ✓
Richmond @ Charlotte +12.7 145.2 76% 48–65 ✓
Ball State @ Dayton +20.3 139.0 88% 69–77 ✓
Central Michigan @ George Mason +12.1 138.7 81% 70–69 ✗
Milwaukee @ Longwood +17.8 142.6 86% 62–76 ✓
Canisius @ Mercyhurst +10.0 144.9 84% 52–62 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Wake Forest +19.6 141.0 89% 80–85 ✓
Merrimack @ VCU +11.9 132.0 84% 42–63 ✓
Evansville @ Middle Tennessee — — — 63–80 —
Southern @ East Texas A&M +2.6 149.5 61% 68–70 ✓
Kent State @ Auburn — — — 56–79 —
Louisiana @ Houston — — — 45–91 —
Troy @ Arkansas +3.5 138.3 74% 49–65 ✓
Green Bay @ Western Illinois +11.6 136.4 72% 87–73 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Tulsa +15.3 146.8 86% 76–85 ✓
California @ Vanderbilt +10.6 155.8 81% 69–85 ✓
Wyoming @ Texas Tech +19.1 147.9 87% 49–96 ✓
Seton Hall @ Hofstra +3.3 132.1 72% 48–49 ✓
North Texas @ Minnesota — — — 54–51 —
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Nebraska +20.2 143.5 90% 60–86 ✓
Houston Christian @ Creighton +19.3 146.9 88% 43–78 ✓
Oakland @ Illinois +32.9 143.6 90% 54–66 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Colorado +13.2 142.8 87% 53–83 ✓
Queens University @ BYU +20.5 146.0 89% 55–99 ✓
North Dakota State @ Santa Clara +12.1 148.9 76% 88–80 ✗
Fresno State @ UC Santa Barbara +22.0 148.5 90% 86–91 ✓
Weber State @ Nevada +19.8 129.2 88% 58–88 ✓
Long Beach State @ San Francisco +6.8 150.1 73% 54–84 ✓
UT Arlington @ USC +19.5 147.1 88% 95–98 ✓
Utah Valley @ North Dakota — — — 71–77 —
Lindenwood @ LSU New Orleans -1.8 144.7 48% 74–82 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ IU Indianapolis +5.9 131.9 49% 74–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.