But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–14 on winners spread MAE 9.5 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Peter's @ Duquesne +0.7 131.5 55% 62–59 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ East Carolina +8.4 143.8 78% 67–53 ✗
Brown @ Vermont +2.9 133.5 59% 60–53 ✗
Northwestern @ Iowa +5.9 141.6 76% 79–80 ✓
Army @ Le Moyne +1.9 147.9 60% 103–100 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Akron +7.4 147.6 76% 73–86 ✓
Dartmouth @ New Hampshire -0.6 141.8 37% 69–65 ✓
Santa Clara @ McNeese +6.1 139.7 71% 74–67 ✗
East Tennessee State @ James Madison +2.5 142.2 59% 61–71 ✓
Presbyterian @ Florida A&M -5.3 141.3 33% 63–66 ✗
High Point @ UNC Greensboro +5.1 132.5 72% 68–72 ✓
Western Michigan @ Dayton +19.8 148.8 87% 69–77 ✓
UNC Asheville @ George Mason +13.4 147.4 85% 52–74 ✓
Arkansas @ Miami -6.0 152.2 25% 76–73 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia +13.1 145.6 83% 48–69 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hampton +3.6 148.1 68% 71–82 ✓
Stetson @ South Florida +13.3 149.3 87% 72–74 ✓
Winthrop @ Queens University -1.2 146.6 39% 86–78 ✓
Lipscomb @ Chattanooga +0.9 144.3 58% 80–62 ✗
California @ Missouri +12.7 151.1 83% 93–98 ✓
South Carolina @ Boston College +3.4 142.0 67% 73–51 ✗
Princeton @ Saint Joseph's +5.6 145.3 73% 77–69 ✗
La Salle @ Northeastern +5.0 141.9 69% 68–82 ✓
Syracuse @ Tennessee +25.8 150.2 90% 70–96 ✓
UT Martin @ Charleston Southern +2.7 136.7 61% 68–83 ✓
Sam Houston @ Indiana +13.1 150.8 86% 71–97 ✓
Evansville @ Murray State +14.2 144.7 88% 61–63 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois -1.9 146.2 43% 83–60 ✓
Alabama State @ SMU +17.2 154.1 88% 72–101 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Loyola Chicago +14.6 146.0 86% 54–76 ✓
Michigan @ Wisconsin +6.0 146.8 64% 67–64 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Oklahoma +15.3 151.9 86% 61–76 ✓
Wake Forest @ Texas A&M +12.2 136.0 86% 44–57 ✓
Ole Miss @ Louisville +7.9 147.4 73% 86–63 ✗
Hawai'i @ Grand Canyon +5.7 149.8 72% 72–78 ✓
San Diego @ Arizona State +20.2 146.0 89% 53–90 ✓
Utah Tech @ Boise State +19.2 147.3 88% 64–87 ✓
Florida State @ LSU +5.6 152.3 69% 75–85 ✓
BYU @ Providence -1.1 141.1 42% 64–83 ✗
Kentucky @ Clemson +1.4 153.0 70% 66–70 ✓
UTSA @ Saint Mary's +22.7 147.0 90% 74–82 ✓
Utah Valley @ Stanford +10.6 146.3 82% 63–77 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +14.5 133.1 88% 58–69 ✓
West Georgia @ Mercer +8.0 146.1 75% 72–86 ✓
Harvard @ Holy Cross +5.5 138.3 69% 67–68 ✓
Baylor @ UConn +4.1 151.9 71% 72–76 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida International -0.1 152.9 47% 88–77 ✓
Columbia @ UAlbany -1.2 148.3 45% 73–88 ✗
Ohio State @ Maryland +3.8 150.2 67% 59–83 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis -1.4 149.5 53% 75–84 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.