The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–11 on winners spread MAE 11.1 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Bucknell @ St. John's +23.9 152.2 90% 49–97 ✓
Tennessee State @ Tennessee +18.9 153.7 89% 60–89 ✓
Colgate @ Cornell +4.0 153.0 66% 94–95 ✓
Nebraska @ New Mexico -3.1 143.4 40% 84–72 ✓
Texas Southern @ Vanderbilt +36.0 157.5 91% 74–109 ✓
Northeastern @ Princeton -3.6 139.9 34% 57–70 ✗
Pacific @ Florida Atlantic +3.8 150.2 72% 59–82 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Queens University +14.4 148.7 86% 94–101 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Central Michigan +10.6 136.6 83% 90–66 ✗
Chicago State @ Iowa +28.5 147.7 91% 54–93 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Miami (OH) +13.4 134.8 82% 71–76 ✓
Pittsburgh @ UCF -2.5 141.8 47% 67–77 ✗
Long Island University @ Fordham +0.1 136.0 52% 53–69 ✓
Elon @ Miami +19.4 160.2 87% 72–99 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ohio State +16.2 150.9 87% 58–91 ✓
Tarleton State @ Rice +1.8 141.5 61% 90–74 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Oklahoma +22.4 158.5 89% 71–95 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Texas +17.1 130.0 88% 56–74 ✓
South Dakota @ Missouri +19.5 159.8 88% 68–102 ✓
Wake Forest @ Texas Tech +4.2 153.1 63% 83–84 ✓
Rider @ Houston +32.4 130.8 91% 45–91 ✓
Cal Poly @ Utah +10.5 153.7 79% 92–85 ✗
Mississippi State @ Kansas State +3.0 155.4 67% 77–98 ✓
Troy @ USC +16.4 164.7 86% 106–107 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ UNLV +14.6 155.7 85% 85–99 ✓
Arizona State @ Hawai'i +10.9 140.4 81% 83–76 ✗
Green Bay @ Yale +16.7 146.7 85% 67–73 ✓
Utah State @ Tulane -8.7 140.8 21% 96–75 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Alabama State +0.6 156.1 49% 80–101 ✓
Butler @ South Carolina -3.7 152.5 35% 79–72 ✓
Massachusetts @ Charleston -6.3 148.7 28% 65–69 ✗
Campbell @ UT Arlington +1.5 142.2 60% 71–67 ✗
Davidson @ Boston College -1.8 132.6 46% 59–49 ✓
Wisconsin @ BYU +8.8 152.6 71% 70–98 ✓
Northwestern @ Virginia +0.5 140.3 44% 78–83 ✓
Iona @ Akron +2.4 165.2 51% 75–96 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Florida State +21.9 167.3 88% 72–98 ✓
Lafayette @ Stonehill +7.7 144.1 78% 70–74 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Air Force -4.3 129.4 28% 63–77 ✗
Columbia @ Lehigh +2.0 131.5 56% 82–67 ✗
Louisville @ Cincinnati -3.8 152.5 30% 74–64 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Michigan State +25.4 150.7 90% 56–84 ✓
Oakland @ Eastern Michigan +7.1 144.5 79% 91–97 ✓
Charlotte @ App State +0.7 134.8 50% 63–65 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Rutgers +12.2 138.2 86% 67–54 ✗
West Virginia @ Clemson +3.9 128.5 63% 67–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.