And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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83–48 on winners spread MAE 9.7 131 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iona @ Manhattan +2.3 144.2 60% 55–76 ✓
Dayton @ Saint Louis +0.2 140.4 51% 71–63 ✗
Brown @ Pennsylvania +0.0 144.2 55% 88–79 ✗
Harvard @ Columbia +4.5 145.9 65% 90–82 ✗
Dartmouth @ Cornell +10.4 157.8 85% 64–76 ✓
Akron @ Kent State +0.1 145.7 42% 85–71 ✗
Fairfield @ Quinnipiac +11.7 142.0 88% 69–81 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack +8.7 130.1 79% 66–58 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Rider -0.8 125.2 40% 64–67 ✗
Niagara @ Canisius -2.8 139.6 30% 64–63 ✓
Indiana @ Purdue +12.3 146.7 89% 76–81 ✓
Siena @ Marist +4.1 131.4 67% 67–72 ✓
Florida @ Tennessee +2.9 136.0 65% 44–64 ✓
Providence @ St. John's +12.3 141.6 87% 66–68 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest -1.4 136.4 48% 74–76 ✗
Washington @ Minnesota +3.5 138.3 68% 71–68 ✗
Fordham @ St. Bonaventure +11.7 139.7 86% 72–74 ✓
Missouri @ Mississippi State +3.6 149.9 63% 88–61 ✗
Arizona @ Arizona State -3.1 146.7 41% 81–72 ✓
Le Moyne @ Wagner +2.5 134.6 64% 61–73 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UMBC +0.9 163.7 58% 83–67 ✗
Creighton @ Villanova -0.1 140.6 50% 62–60 ✓
Georgia State @ App State +10.9 137.1 85% 76–80 ✓
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy +4.4 139.6 68% 57–67 ✓
Hofstra @ Campbell +1.6 132.2 60% 52–75 ✓
West Georgia @ Queens University +9.6 148.1 85% 68–87 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast +13.4 146.7 88% 56–82 ✓
Samford @ The Citadel -14.3 143.6 13% 83–58 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan +1.5 149.8 62% 54–61 ✓
Clemson @ NC State -5.0 133.8 32% 68–58 ✓
Auburn @ Ole Miss -5.0 143.2 28% 92–82 ✓
Kansas State @ Iowa State +15.9 147.3 87% 80–61 ✗
Wisconsin @ Northwestern -2.3 145.8 41% 75–69 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +11.9 149.4 87% 69–79 ✓
High Point @ Presbyterian -7.9 147.9 22% 84–72 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Winthrop +4.9 158.7 72% 93–96 ✓
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -3.3 147.0 40% 85–89 ✗
Charlotte @ UAB +9.3 154.0 81% 78–96 ✓
East Carolina @ Temple +4.7 147.0 70% 94–98 ✓
Florida State @ Boston College -7.9 148.3 29% 76–77 ✗
Massachusetts @ Duquesne +4.0 145.7 68% 62–53 ✗
Drake @ Southern Illinois -4.5 132.6 24% 75–65 ✓
Bucknell @ Navy +2.5 142.5 60% 85–75 ✗
Lafayette @ Colgate +6.0 140.9 72% 76–61 ✗
Army @ American University +4.8 140.4 70% 68–71 ✓
Boston University @ Loyola Maryland -0.0 131.2 49% 67–69 ✗
Long Island University @ Chicago State -3.5 131.7 41% 67–73 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Stonehill -2.8 129.8 34% 71–63 ✓
Maine @ Vermont -3.3 128.7 30% 49–55 ✗
Bryant @ NJIT -8.3 142.1 16% 92–70 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +8.5 146.7 78% 84–79 ✗
Delaware @ Monmouth +0.3 155.1 52% 83–92 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota -9.1 156.6 26% 75–80 ✗
Mercer @ Chattanooga +6.5 151.8 77% 84–93 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Toledo +12.6 153.0 88% 85–89 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Loyola Chicago -2.6 143.1 41% 55–58 ✗
George Washington @ La Salle -0.1 141.7 49% 67–73 ✗
Howard @ Hampton +2.2 149.2 62% 79–80 ✓
Utah @ Oklahoma State -2.2 144.2 44% 72–81 ✗
Murray State @ Missouri State -2.2 140.4 44% 56–77 ✗
Indiana State @ UIC +10.5 162.1 82% 88–83 ✗
Lamar @ Stephen F. Austin -0.3 126.8 43% 67–62 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Weber State +1.4 139.8 47% 72–49 ✗
Utah Tech @ UT Arlington +6.7 141.7 78% 71–73 ✓
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee +5.2 141.2 71% 68–71 ✓
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky +2.6 137.9 66% 69–101 ✓
Northwestern State @ East Texas A&M -4.3 131.5 37% 50–72 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Oklahoma +2.5 151.4 66% 67–97 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern +7.6 151.8 77% 63–79 ✓
Michigan @ Rutgers -3.9 156.5 37% 66–63 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Fairleigh Dickinson +4.0 136.0 62% 67–60 ✗
VMI @ Western Carolina -5.6 138.4 24% 80–76 ✓
Ohio @ Miami (OH) +3.2 156.3 69% 69–73 ✓
Louisville @ Georgia Tech -8.0 147.2 22% 70–77 ✗
Georgia @ Alabama +10.3 156.6 85% 69–90 ✓
Kansas @ Baylor +1.8 149.0 66% 70–81 ✓
Fresno State @ Boise State +18.4 148.8 89% 60–82 ✓
BYU @ UCF +0.1 160.5 52% 81–75 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Virginia +4.2 128.9 66% 75–74 ✗
Richmond @ VCU +16.8 134.8 89% 49–90 ✓
George Mason @ Davidson -2.3 136.7 36% 64–60 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Morgan State +6.5 154.7 78% 63–76 ✓
Idaho @ Idaho State +3.7 144.3 68% 71–87 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado +6.8 144.6 75% 69–87 ✓
Old Dominion @ James Madison +10.7 136.2 86% 54–68 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall +9.5 141.7 82% 62–67 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland +6.8 128.4 73% 84–75 ✗
UC Davis @ UC Irvine +15.2 135.5 88% 66–73 ✓
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky +5.5 148.0 76% 82–88 ✓
Sam Houston @ Louisiana Tech +7.2 146.5 78% 61–66 ✓
Michigan State @ USC -3.5 148.6 42% 64–70 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +7.7 145.0 80% 65–67 ✓
Delaware State @ Coppin State -5.4 140.7 25% 84–61 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross +2.2 137.9 52% 69–67 ✗
McNeese @ Nicholls -6.8 142.6 25% 63–71 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana +11.4 140.9 86% 68–76 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Southern Miss +1.7 147.6 60% 68–72 ✓
UL Monroe @ Troy +14.5 133.5 87% 50–87 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Southern Indiana +0.2 144.0 50% 78–65 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Western Illinois -6.1 130.4 24% 69–65 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Lindenwood +2.7 134.0 58% 76–70 ✗
Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State +4.3 149.7 67% 87–89 ✓
Valparaiso @ Illinois State +7.5 144.7 80% 78–86 ✓
Air Force @ San José State +8.8 135.9 82% 64–75 ✓
Brown @ Princeton +5.8 144.1 77% 49–69 ✓
Arkansas State @ Texas State -3.4 148.7 33% 85–74 ✓
Bellarmine @ Lipscomb +21.1 144.2 91% 80–87 ✓
Ball State @ Buffalo -1.1 149.1 45% 89–76 ✓
Liberty @ Jacksonville State -1.8 135.0 50% 61–72 ✗
Florida International @ Kennesaw State +6.2 141.9 76% 67–73 ✓
Jackson State @ Grambling +1.0 139.4 52% 65–50 ✗
Alabama State @ Bethune-Cookman +4.0 138.4 68% 64–67 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley -1.2 146.9 44% 73–83 ✗
Texas Tech @ Houston +9.6 132.2 74% 82–81 ✗
UTSA @ North Texas +14.3 137.7 87% 54–50 ✗
Stanford @ SMU +5.9 148.3 75% 61–85 ✓
Harvard @ Cornell +10.8 152.0 85% 60–75 ✓
Yale @ Pennsylvania -11.0 149.3 15% 90–61 ✓
Alcorn State @ Southern +11.4 132.5 86% 69–74 ✓
Dartmouth @ Columbia +5.0 152.9 74% 95–89 ✗
Sacramento State @ Montana +9.6 139.6 83% 59–87 ✓
Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word +1.2 140.5 56% 64–74 ✓
Drexel @ Towson +4.8 129.0 71% 54–55 ✓
North Florida @ Jacksonville +7.3 155.8 79% 81–78 ✗
Texas @ LSU +0.8 142.7 54% 89–58 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ San Diego -5.6 139.1 31% 78–62 ✓
Wofford @ UNC Greensboro +5.0 133.7 70% 74–62 ✗
UT Martin @ Little Rock +5.9 135.3 69% 57–75 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +12.3 149.1 87% 70–87 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +8.4 140.4 55% 79–76 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Florida A&M +6.8 148.5 81% 79–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.