The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–19 on winners spread MAE 8.6 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Winthrop @ Longwood +2.1 159.5 62% 85–59 ✗
North Texas @ Florida Atlantic -0.3 136.6 47% 71–61 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University +4.3 122.2 68% 47–60 ✓
Stonehill @ Fairleigh Dickinson +2.5 136.8 61% 69–82 ✓
Chicago State @ Mercyhurst +7.6 139.5 78% 68–90 ✓
Le Moyne @ Central Connecticut +15.5 144.7 88% 75–84 ✓
Maine @ New Hampshire -7.6 135.5 18% 73–66 ✓
Vermont @ NJIT -7.4 126.6 21% 71–61 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Green Bay +1.6 144.7 56% 71–76 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne +8.0 150.9 79% 79–74 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Campbell +0.1 140.7 48% 79–60 ✗
Elon @ Monmouth -1.8 141.7 43% 76–79 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Northeastern +9.3 141.2 82% 55–69 ✓
Hampton @ Drexel +1.9 131.8 59% 52–53 ✓
William & Mary @ Towson +4.8 142.1 73% 73–88 ✓
Delaware @ Charleston +8.6 158.3 80% 84–94 ✓
Hofstra @ Stony Brook -4.2 132.2 31% 56–59 ✗
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro +1.8 138.7 62% 75–63 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Florida International -3.8 139.6 32% 61–76 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Liberty +8.0 129.4 79% 55–59 ✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee +6.1 145.1 75% 66–71 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State -3.4 132.0 36% 52–67 ✗
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -10.2 152.9 16% 77–69 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas +10.6 159.5 86% 71–86 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +5.7 135.5 73% 56–64 ✓
Western Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +7.2 141.2 77% 82–69 ✗
Southern Indiana @ UT Martin +4.4 144.3 69% 63–79 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ SIU Edwardsville +0.5 138.4 51% 83–68 ✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee State +6.8 142.4 76% 55–64 ✓
Little Rock @ Eastern Illinois -4.6 128.8 28% 60–71 ✗
Rutgers @ Michigan +11.2 154.5 87% 82–84 ✓
UAB @ Wichita State +2.6 153.6 66% 80–72 ✗
Idaho State @ Idaho +0.3 145.8 53% 69–65 ✗
Weber State @ Eastern Washington +4.1 139.4 65% 66–64 ✗
Cleveland State @ Wright State +0.8 144.3 53% 76–82 ✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech +1.5 143.1 57% 82–75 ✗
UT Arlington @ Grand Canyon +10.7 148.9 85% 71–85 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UTEP +2.9 145.2 64% 80–73 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ New Mexico State +1.1 136.5 57% 71–66 ✗
San Diego @ Washington State +12.4 155.1 87% 86–93 ✓
Montana @ Sacramento State -7.4 140.0 22% 60–54 ✓
Montana State @ Portland State +2.4 137.8 61% 52–69 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -3.8 144.8 35% 77–71 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +6.2 155.6 75% 77–96 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -14.6 137.2 13% 76–51 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State -2.8 136.5 39% 88–87 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland +1.2 154.4 58% 67–87 ✓
California Baptist @ Seattle U +1.8 138.4 58% 48–72 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount -11.1 133.4 15% 58–55 ✓
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i -0.2 141.5 48% 82–76 ✓
Brown @ Harvard -0.7 141.2 48% 59–52 ✓
Yale @ Dartmouth -5.3 149.4 29% 72–67 ✓
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan -0.8 145.9 48% 73–84 ✗
Iona @ Niagara +0.1 138.7 48% 65–63 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.