And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
56–23 on winners spread MAE 9.4 79 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina State @ Queens University +17.7 150.1 90% 78–102 ✓
Missouri State @ Xavier +16.5 146.4 89% 57–75 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina A&T +7.4 132.7 73% 79–82 ✓
Texas @ UConn +15.1 145.1 88% 63–71 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Austin Peay +1.0 137.1 52% 75–76 ✓
East Texas A&M @ McNeese +15.1 138.2 88% 66–102 ✓
California Baptist @ Eastern Washington -1.8 147.5 37% 88–83 ✓
Michigan State @ Penn State -8.7 136.8 20% 76–72 ✓
Texas Tech @ Arkansas -0.4 143.5 51% 86–93 ✗
Iona @ St. John's +18.8 158.2 90% 64–91 ✓
UAlbany @ Florida Atlantic +16.1 147.8 89% 79–105 ✓
Massachusetts @ Florida State +3.5 147.2 62% 103–95 ✗
DePaul @ Wichita State +11.2 141.0 86% 61–58 ✗
Central Michigan @ Stony Brook +11.2 144.7 86% 55–78 ✓
UL Monroe @ Miami +25.4 149.2 91% 79–104 ✓
Old Dominion @ George Mason +15.3 143.2 88% 61–73 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Elon +12.2 152.5 88% 79–85 ✓
Toledo @ Robert Morris +4.0 148.2 67% 70–75 ✓
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State +2.4 157.7 61% 85–76 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Delaware +4.6 145.8 68% 88–66 ✗
Marquette @ Purdue +21.1 149.1 91% 59–79 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ North Carolina +18.1 143.5 90% 62–80 ✓
St. Thomas @ UNC Asheville +2.5 141.7 59% 80–59 ✗
Western Illinois @ North Dakota +7.8 139.9 78% 69–66 ✗
North Dakota State @ Drake +7.2 139.8 72% 99–94 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Georgia State -1.8 127.0 35% 73–77 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Utah Valley +7.2 148.3 77% 53–68 ✓
Jackson State @ Northwestern +21.8 140.7 90% 53–93 ✓
Boston University @ Dartmouth +3.8 146.9 63% 64–77 ✓
Sacred Heart @ NJIT +0.8 146.7 51% 65–49 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Bellarmine -0.1 148.4 47% 80–76 ✓
Providence @ Butler +9.6 163.2 82% 110–113 ✓
Manhattan @ Fordham +9.8 139.1 82% 53–82 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Quinnipiac +13.5 151.1 88% 71–75 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Davidson +9.9 134.6 82% 47–80 ✓
Cincinnati @ Georgia +12.2 152.6 85% 65–84 ✓
Evansville @ Notre Dame +17.3 141.2 89% 58–82 ✓
Canisius @ Maine +6.9 125.4 74% 70–43 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ South Dakota +4.5 155.8 67% 85–97 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Georgetown +11.3 140.4 86% 68–76 ✓
George Washington @ Florida +5.5 154.7 70% 70–80 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Houston +20.0 139.3 91% 57–99 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Eastern Kentucky -5.7 155.9 26% 79–69 ✓
Tulsa @ New Mexico State -5.7 145.8 26% 83–70 ✓
Hampton @ Howard -4.4 136.6 32% 57–61 ✗
Southern Miss @ Ole Miss +3.7 139.6 62% 67–71 ✓
Delaware State @ Longwood +9.5 139.0 84% 81–76 ✗
Louisiana @ Louisiana Tech +10.9 128.7 80% 44–65 ✓
Arkansas State @ Rice -0.7 150.4 45% 76–77 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Valparaiso -1.7 134.3 37% 73–70 ✓
Kansas State @ Creighton +3.5 148.1 64% 83–76 ✗
Mercer @ Clemson +17.2 151.7 88% 63–70 ✓
Memphis @ Louisville +19.0 152.2 89% 73–99 ✓
Nebraska @ Illinois +9.2 148.9 75% 83–80 ✗
UIC @ Belmont +16.4 145.8 89% 84–87 ✓
UC Davis @ Oregon +2.7 141.9 59% 62–104 ✓
Wright State @ Marshall +3.9 143.8 67% 74–76 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Denver +2.9 162.4 64% 105–86 ✗
Murray State @ Akron +5.5 163.6 72% 115–100 ✗
UTSA @ Colorado +20.9 148.4 91% 64–88 ✓
Hofstra @ Syracuse +6.5 137.9 70% 70–69 ✗
Marist @ Bryant -2.4 123.3 35% 82–74 ✓
Niagara @ Morgan State +0.6 132.3 52% 73–81 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Binghamton -5.6 138.0 24% 84–67 ✓
La Salle @ Long Island University +6.0 139.6 71% 60–70 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Villanova +13.1 137.3 88% 61–79 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian +5.3 135.2 69% 74–71 ✗
Chattanooga @ Auburn +15.5 148.1 86% 78–92 ✓
Montana State @ Oregon State +1.0 140.6 51% 57–67 ✓
Northwestern State @ California +19.6 146.9 91% 70–79 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Ohio -7.4 144.6 23% 83–88 ✗
Illinois State @ Utah State +3.1 141.5 64% 78–83 ✓
Kansas @ NC State +4.7 145.0 66% 77–76 ✗
Northern Arizona @ San Diego +2.2 140.9 58% 69–78 ✓
Southern Utah @ Washington +22.2 146.7 91% 69–105 ✓
Oakland @ Northern Iowa +7.8 143.9 73% 63–75 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Richmond +8.7 151.6 80% 84–93 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Loyola Maryland +3.5 145.5 64% 81–73 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Vanderbilt +22.8 152.7 90% 72–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.