Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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58–26 on winners spread MAE 9.0 84 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Manhattan @ Saint Peter's +9.2 134.0 74% 70–67 ✗
Portland @ Kent State +14.5 132.1 84% 57–76 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Davidson +12.3 150.8 87% 72–73 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Indiana +15.1 149.5 87% 57–76 ✓
Georgetown @ West Virginia +9.6 146.6 81% 60–73 ✓
Iona @ Sacred Heart +3.5 139.6 63% 59–83 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist +2.7 136.8 61% 50–53 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Rider +2.5 134.8 57% 72–67 ✗
Merrimack @ Canisius -5.3 131.5 25% 60–52 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Georgia State +1.0 148.8 53% 81–77 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ UAB +17.1 161.3 89% 66–95 ✓
North Texas @ High Point -4.1 129.8 35% 71–76 ✗
Illinois @ Northwestern -5.4 144.8 45% 66–70 ✗
Kansas State @ St. John's +11.0 152.3 81% 71–88 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word +5.4 139.4 76% 53–65 ✓
Syracuse @ Notre Dame +6.1 148.9 74% 64–69 ✓
Clemson @ Miami -7.0 138.0 21% 65–55 ✓
Boston College @ Wake Forest +5.8 133.0 75% 66–72 ✓
Princeton @ Furman +5.2 138.7 68% 63–69 ✓
Rutgers @ Ohio State +11.7 157.5 85% 66–80 ✓
Nebraska @ Michigan State +5.0 145.7 75% 52–89 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Massachusetts +3.6 154.4 67% 96–83 ✗
Providence @ Rhode Island +3.8 143.1 67% 63–69 ✓
South Florida @ Loyola Chicago +12.2 145.9 86% 72–74 ✓
UMBC @ Towson +11.3 139.4 80% 84–71 ✗
UAlbany @ Boston University +1.0 132.9 50% 74–80 ✓
Wright State @ Detroit Mercy -4.1 142.9 35% 80–72 ✓
Queens University @ VMI +2.7 149.2 57% 81–78 ✗
Wisconsin @ Marquette +9.9 150.8 80% 74–88 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech -11.0 140.1 20% 64–59 ✓
Georgia Tech @ North Carolina +12.9 159.4 85% 65–68 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Drexel +8.1 136.9 72% 47–60 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ North Carolina A&T -4.7 144.2 27% 67–55 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Gardner-Webb +8.7 145.0 76% 78–77 ✗
Marshall @ UNC Wilmington +7.6 142.7 81% 69–78 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Evansville -0.8 146.2 41% 79–65 ✓
Southern Utah @ Arizona +21.2 152.4 89% 66–102 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ West Georgia +1.7 143.8 69% 73–78 ✓
Navy @ NJIT +0.3 138.3 44% 64–69 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Delaware State -0.8 138.0 50% 77–80 ✗
Vermont @ Yale +11.1 136.2 82% 50–65 ✓
Iowa @ Michigan +6.0 152.1 71% 83–85 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Holy Cross +0.7 131.3 51% 69–56 ✗
Morgan State @ Bowling Green +10.0 146.7 83% 81–102 ✓
South Dakota @ Northern Arizona +1.3 158.7 61% 82–95 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Nicholls +6.4 142.6 77% 70–73 ✓
Lehigh @ Dayton +21.9 147.3 90% 62–86 ✓
Tulane @ George Mason +14.2 143.5 85% 64–76 ✓
UTSA @ Arkansas +20.0 153.6 90% 60–75 ✓
East Carolina @ South Carolina +11.7 142.5 85% 68–75 ✓
Oakland @ Youngstown State -1.2 133.0 46% 50–66 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ IU Indianapolis +0.3 139.3 39% 66–64 ✗
Virginia @ SMU +11.3 136.7 84% 51–63 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Southern Illinois +7.8 149.4 80% 70–73 ✓
Stony Brook @ Air Force +3.5 127.9 71% 61–69 ✓
Southern @ Tulsa +0.8 142.3 59% 70–66 ✗
Lafayette @ Mercyhurst +1.2 132.0 55% 77–73 ✗
Montana @ St. Thomas +8.5 151.6 78% 81–88 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Western Carolina +10.0 152.6 75% 74–68 ✗
Cleveland State @ Green Bay +2.6 142.7 49% 83–61 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Belmont +3.9 156.8 73% 79–82 ✓
Utah Valley @ James Madison +9.7 140.9 79% 61–78 ✓
Seattle U @ UTEP +0.6 135.4 53% 72–88 ✓
Florida State @ NC State +2.4 141.1 63% 74–84 ✓
Stanford @ California +2.1 147.8 63% 89–81 ✗
Washington State @ Boise State +7.3 148.2 74% 74–69 ✗
Morehead State @ Ohio +9.4 147.2 78% 76–88 ✓
Omaha @ Sacramento State +1.0 131.9 44% 70–60 ✗
Buffalo @ St. Bonaventure +20.7 139.4 90% 55–65 ✓
George Washington @ Old Dominion -8.4 143.9 18% 78–70 ✓
UNLV @ Creighton +10.5 146.3 86% 65–83 ✓
Hawai'i @ Long Beach State -3.9 132.8 36% 68–76 ✗
Villanova @ Temple -7.1 144.1 23% 94–65 ✓
Northwestern State @ Houston Christian -3.2 132.2 43% 64–57 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +4.2 135.5 66% 48–67 ✓
Grambling @ Pepperdine -0.6 136.5 50% 57–85 ✗
Idaho @ Oregon State +19.0 140.3 90% 62–78 ✓
Denver @ Portland State +5.6 154.0 64% 68–67 ✗
Butler @ Houston +11.1 133.0 85% 51–79 ✓
Texas Southern @ Sam Houston +10.9 150.5 85% 71–87 ✓
Lamar @ UT Rio Grande Valley +9.0 148.6 77% 84–52 ✗
USC @ Washington +6.4 135.3 76% 85–61 ✗
Binghamton @ Le Moyne +2.8 143.2 61% 72–62 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Northern Iowa +16.6 138.7 87% 57–101 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.