I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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87–44 on winners spread MAE 9.5 131 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iona @ Manhattan +2.0 144.2 49% 55–76 ✓
Dayton @ Saint Louis -0.5 139.6 47% 71–63 ✓
Brown @ Pennsylvania -0.8 145.0 51% 88–79 ✓
Harvard @ Columbia +4.5 144.8 66% 90–82 ✗
Dartmouth @ Cornell +13.4 159.8 87% 64–76 ✓
Akron @ Kent State +0.3 144.3 46% 85–71 ✗
Fairfield @ Quinnipiac +10.3 144.7 85% 69–81 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack +8.1 131.3 75% 66–58 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Rider -1.5 126.0 45% 64–67 ✗
Niagara @ Canisius -2.4 134.4 31% 64–63 ✓
Indiana @ Purdue +11.9 146.2 87% 76–81 ✓
Siena @ Marist +4.3 131.3 71% 67–72 ✓
Florida @ Tennessee +3.9 135.3 68% 44–64 ✓
Providence @ St. John's +12.3 140.5 87% 66–68 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest -1.7 138.4 51% 74–76 ✗
Washington @ Minnesota +3.9 138.0 64% 71–68 ✗
Fordham @ St. Bonaventure +11.5 139.0 86% 72–74 ✓
Missouri @ Mississippi State +5.4 148.3 73% 88–61 ✗
Arizona @ Arizona State -4.9 149.0 23% 81–72 ✓
Le Moyne @ Wagner +3.1 130.5 64% 61–73 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UMBC -0.3 161.6 52% 83–67 ✓
Creighton @ Villanova +1.3 140.2 51% 62–60 ✗
Georgia State @ App State +11.6 139.3 86% 76–80 ✓
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy +2.6 141.8 61% 57–67 ✓
Hofstra @ Campbell +0.7 133.2 55% 52–75 ✓
West Georgia @ Queens University +9.0 148.5 81% 68–87 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast +12.6 145.0 86% 56–82 ✓
Samford @ The Citadel -15.2 144.0 12% 83–58 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan +2.6 147.2 70% 54–61 ✓
Clemson @ NC State -4.5 132.7 32% 68–58 ✓
Auburn @ Ole Miss -3.8 143.9 21% 92–82 ✓
Kansas State @ Iowa State +14.7 147.6 88% 80–61 ✗
Wisconsin @ Northwestern -1.1 145.3 50% 75–69 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +11.4 147.3 86% 69–79 ✓
High Point @ Presbyterian -7.3 143.5 21% 84–72 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Winthrop +3.7 157.3 74% 93–96 ✓
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -3.8 147.7 38% 85–89 ✗
Charlotte @ UAB +10.3 150.4 83% 78–96 ✓
East Carolina @ Temple +3.4 148.0 69% 94–98 ✓
Florida State @ Boston College -6.3 145.9 32% 76–77 ✗
Massachusetts @ Duquesne +5.4 145.5 71% 62–53 ✗
Drake @ Southern Illinois -6.7 128.7 20% 75–65 ✓
Bucknell @ Navy +2.8 143.5 63% 85–75 ✗
Lafayette @ Colgate +7.7 139.3 78% 76–61 ✗
Army @ American University +5.0 141.0 75% 68–71 ✓
Boston University @ Loyola Maryland -0.7 128.8 43% 67–69 ✗
Long Island University @ Chicago State -3.4 133.6 42% 67–73 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Stonehill -4.0 132.2 28% 71–63 ✓
Maine @ Vermont -1.9 129.2 45% 49–55 ✗
Bryant @ NJIT -10.1 146.1 14% 92–70 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +11.4 148.6 84% 84–79 ✗
Delaware @ Monmouth +1.1 153.4 62% 83–92 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota -7.7 153.7 26% 75–80 ✗
Mercer @ Chattanooga +7.4 154.1 78% 84–93 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Toledo +13.9 154.0 86% 85–89 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Loyola Chicago -1.6 144.8 48% 55–58 ✗
George Washington @ La Salle -0.1 146.3 59% 67–73 ✗
Howard @ Hampton +2.1 143.5 64% 79–80 ✓
Utah @ Oklahoma State -2.7 145.1 50% 72–81 ✗
Murray State @ Missouri State -1.6 135.6 48% 56–77 ✗
Indiana State @ UIC +8.1 159.0 79% 88–83 ✗
Lamar @ Stephen F. Austin -0.6 130.0 38% 67–62 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Weber State +0.9 139.2 54% 72–49 ✗
Utah Tech @ UT Arlington +8.9 143.0 80% 71–73 ✓
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee +3.5 143.6 66% 68–71 ✓
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky +3.0 142.5 70% 69–101 ✓
Northwestern State @ East Texas A&M -3.2 131.3 36% 50–72 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Oklahoma +3.5 147.9 67% 67–97 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern +6.8 152.6 79% 63–79 ✓
Michigan @ Rutgers -4.6 151.3 34% 66–63 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Fairleigh Dickinson +3.2 138.0 59% 67–60 ✗
VMI @ Western Carolina -3.7 142.4 38% 80–76 ✓
Ohio @ Miami (OH) +3.2 155.0 64% 69–73 ✓
Louisville @ Georgia Tech -7.7 151.0 24% 70–77 ✗
Georgia @ Alabama +10.2 157.5 84% 69–90 ✓
Kansas @ Baylor +3.5 143.9 73% 70–81 ✓
Fresno State @ Boise State +20.1 151.2 90% 60–82 ✓
BYU @ UCF -1.4 159.2 36% 81–75 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Virginia +4.9 125.8 67% 75–74 ✗
Richmond @ VCU +14.9 136.4 89% 49–90 ✓
George Mason @ Davidson -2.1 134.0 38% 64–60 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Morgan State +7.3 151.8 79% 63–76 ✓
Idaho @ Idaho State +4.5 142.8 70% 71–87 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado +6.4 144.9 80% 69–87 ✓
Old Dominion @ James Madison +13.1 137.5 87% 54–68 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall +9.5 140.5 85% 62–67 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland +7.2 132.0 74% 84–75 ✗
UC Davis @ UC Irvine +14.6 139.5 87% 66–73 ✓
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky +5.9 149.3 77% 82–88 ✓
Sam Houston @ Louisiana Tech +7.6 143.1 79% 61–66 ✓
Michigan State @ USC -3.8 146.6 30% 64–70 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +7.5 142.5 81% 65–67 ✓
Delaware State @ Coppin State -6.2 143.1 21% 84–61 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross +2.7 136.4 57% 69–67 ✗
McNeese @ Nicholls -9.0 140.3 20% 63–71 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana +11.6 142.7 86% 68–76 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Southern Miss +2.8 150.9 67% 68–72 ✓
UL Monroe @ Troy +14.9 136.0 87% 50–87 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Southern Indiana +0.9 146.6 55% 78–65 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Western Illinois -6.5 132.1 21% 69–65 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Lindenwood +2.1 135.6 58% 76–70 ✗
Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State +3.3 150.4 66% 87–89 ✓
Valparaiso @ Illinois State +8.2 142.4 79% 78–86 ✓
Air Force @ San José State +8.0 132.9 83% 64–75 ✓
Brown @ Princeton +8.2 144.8 83% 49–69 ✓
Arkansas State @ Texas State -3.1 147.2 34% 85–74 ✓
Bellarmine @ Lipscomb +18.7 144.5 90% 80–87 ✓
Ball State @ Buffalo -2.4 149.2 39% 89–76 ✓
Liberty @ Jacksonville State -1.8 134.3 50% 61–72 ✗
Florida International @ Kennesaw State +6.3 144.1 75% 67–73 ✓
Jackson State @ Grambling -0.2 140.0 47% 65–50 ✓
Alabama State @ Bethune-Cookman +3.2 139.6 62% 64–67 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley -1.2 147.3 50% 73–83 ✗
Texas Tech @ Houston +10.2 126.5 79% 82–81 ✗
UTSA @ North Texas +15.3 134.5 88% 54–50 ✗
Stanford @ SMU +6.8 146.2 75% 61–85 ✓
Harvard @ Cornell +11.5 151.8 86% 60–75 ✓
Yale @ Pennsylvania -11.6 148.8 15% 90–61 ✓
Alcorn State @ Southern +9.2 132.0 80% 69–74 ✓
Dartmouth @ Columbia +6.0 154.1 72% 95–89 ✗
Sacramento State @ Montana +9.5 136.9 83% 59–87 ✓
Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word +2.6 136.8 65% 64–74 ✓
Drexel @ Towson +3.9 130.2 74% 54–55 ✓
North Florida @ Jacksonville +7.3 158.0 77% 81–78 ✗
Texas @ LSU +1.0 143.9 52% 89–58 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ San Diego -4.7 141.3 33% 78–62 ✓
Wofford @ UNC Greensboro +5.0 133.7 70% 74–62 ✗
UT Martin @ Little Rock +4.3 139.9 62% 57–75 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +13.1 150.2 87% 70–87 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +9.8 144.2 68% 79–76 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Florida A&M +6.9 149.6 79% 79–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.