You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–16 on winners spread MAE 9.1 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kansas City @ Creighton +23.8 141.4 90% 56–79 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Purdue Fort Wayne +14.2 146.8 84% 74–93 ✓
Bellarmine @ Marshall +8.7 146.5 77% 62–83 ✓
Saint Francis @ Mount St. Mary's +6.5 146.9 66% 58–66 ✓
Holy Cross @ Brown +3.7 140.1 62% 73–65 ✗
Siena @ UAlbany +5.3 146.1 73% 60–70 ✓
Hofstra @ Massachusetts +5.4 144.1 77% 75–71 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ VCU +14.1 134.9 83% 57–83 ✓
North Carolina Central @ William & Mary +3.1 148.2 62% 78–76 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Drake +12.1 124.0 82% 61–63 ✓
James Madison @ Towson +3.1 138.6 69% 63–67 ✓
Norfolk State @ Hampton +0.8 133.7 46% 67–58 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Tennessee State — — — 71–81 —
Northern Illinois @ Bradley +11.1 144.4 81% 60–76 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Sacramento State +1.9 134.4 48% 79–69 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Saint Louis +0.4 138.0 61% 71–77 ✓
Omaha @ Southern Utah +4.1 149.5 62% 73–79 ✓
Utah Tech @ Wyoming +6.2 137.8 76% 69–86 ✓
Fresno State @ Cal State Bakersfield +1.2 152.7 51% 56–74 ✓
Seattle U @ UC San Diego +9.3 139.6 70% 84–71 ✗
Santa Clara @ Nevada +19.9 148.7 84% 59–85 ✓
Chicago State @ San Francisco +29.9 152.1 91% 37–82 ✓
Pepperdine @ UC Irvine +23.6 142.5 90% 62–80 ✓
New Mexico @ St. John's +6.9 155.1 65% 71–85 ✓
Georgia Southern @ William & Mary -1.6 159.3 40% 87–102 ✗
Canisius @ Western Michigan +5.0 135.4 64% 69–92 ✓
Stonehill @ Lindenwood -5.2 135.0 40% 74–75 ✗
Campbell @ Navy +3.8 139.2 49% 86–66 ✗
Princeton @ Merrimack +3.2 130.8 46% 68–57 ✗
Nebraska @ Saint Mary's -1.3 141.1 39% 74–77 ✗
Clemson @ Boise State +9.8 144.0 72% 71–84 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ The Citadel +9.3 141.1 80% 82–73 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Coastal Carolina +5.9 131.9 68% 71–53 ✗
Manhattan @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.3 153.0 53% 82–85 ✓
Coppin State @ Miami +33.6 147.0 91% 63–93 ✓
Harvard @ Colorado +16.2 140.6 88% 66–88 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Winthrop +8.5 144.3 78% 75–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ Tennessee +20.3 137.6 86% 68–103 ✓
Texas Southern @ Samford +12.3 157.0 86% 82–97 ✓
Chattanooga @ Southeast Missouri State +2.1 139.1 53% 87–82 ✗
Lipscomb @ Western Kentucky +2.5 149.3 65% 61–66 ✓
New Hampshire @ Holy Cross +12.3 141.5 80% 72–74 ✓
Montana State @ Denver +2.8 140.3 65% 78–79 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Robert Morris +13.5 140.7 87% 62–73 ✓
Utah @ Mississippi State +0.8 157.6 53% 73–78 ✓
Liberty @ Charleston +6.8 149.3 65% 68–47 ✗
UC Davis @ Stanford +17.4 147.2 85% 65–79 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ San José State -13.0 143.8 21% 64–59 ✓
Troy @ Oregon +12.8 143.0 85% 61–82 ✓
Sam Houston @ Lamar +1.7 153.9 62% 85–72 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Brown +7.0 140.7 68% 70–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.