He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–13 on winners spread MAE 10.7 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Maryland Eastern Shore @ UConn +39.2 145.7 91% 45–99 ✓
San Diego State @ Houston +9.3 129.3 81% 73–70 ✗
Air Force @ Wright State +8.7 132.3 81% 57–70 ✓
Marist @ Lehigh +1.0 143.9 59% 69–74 ✓
Oakland @ Toledo +9.7 137.9 77% 85–52 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Eastern Michigan +7.0 134.2 73% 98–89 ✗
Arkansas State @ Rice -2.1 141.2 43% 67–75 ✗
Jacksonville @ Georgia +13.8 144.7 85% 56–102 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Pacific +3.1 134.8 65% 55–64 ✓
Kent State @ Kennesaw State -1.9 131.7 39% 67–60 ✓
Marshall @ Western Kentucky +3.9 142.9 71% 82–90 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Omaha +5.1 143.1 64% 71–55 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Sacramento State +10.1 126.1 76% 66–60 ✗
Utah Tech @ Portland State +6.6 152.2 70% 68–71 ✓
Lipscomb @ Alabama A&M -8.4 147.1 23% 82–44 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Southern Utah +3.7 141.9 65% 64–74 ✓
Kansas City @ Southeast Missouri State +4.8 138.0 67% 59–80 ✓
Oregon @ Alabama +1.0 157.5 51% 83–81 ✗
UC Davis @ Oregon State +16.0 134.0 88% 57–90 ✓
Cal Poly @ Stanford +9.6 150.1 82% 97–90 ✗
UC Irvine @ Towson -10.7 128.9 21% 67–60 ✓
Long Island University @ Niagara +0.2 140.2 55% 52–60 ✓
Maine @ Navy -6.8 142.8 23% 71–66 ✓
NJIT @ Massachusetts +12.8 139.6 86% 68–80 ✓
Alcorn State @ Maryland +39.5 137.6 91% 58–96 ✓
Norfolk State @ Stony Brook -8.0 140.3 23% 77–66 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Central Connecticut +5.2 143.0 72% 67–69 ✓
Radford @ Saint Francis -1.2 139.7 49% 79–70 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Fairfield +5.3 141.1 75% 74–78 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Tennessee State +1.1 156.4 51% 92–74 ✗
New Hampshire @ Fordham +11.6 138.4 84% 61–83 ✓
Rice @ Iona -7.3 132.8 22% 70–66 ✓
Buffalo @ Penn State +28.6 159.3 91% 64–87 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Kansas State +26.6 149.5 91% 73–120 ✓
Binghamton @ Lafayette +9.2 131.1 79% 82–81 ✗
Elon @ Pennsylvania -7.9 137.1 26% 68–53 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Troy +3.5 142.2 67% 74–84 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Minnesota +7.9 130.6 79% 62–79 ✓
Missouri State @ Oral Roberts -2.6 153.4 34% 72–67 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UAB +1.9 156.2 56% 76–69 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Stonehill +3.0 138.1 62% 74–88 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Boston University +5.0 136.4 67% 73–65 ✗
California Baptist @ UCF +8.0 155.7 79% 59–74 ✓
North Alabama @ Wofford +2.0 144.8 62% 54–74 ✓
North Florida @ Nebraska +10.5 153.1 82% 72–103 ✓
South Carolina State @ Xavier +16.1 141.6 87% 68–71 ✓
Arkansas State @ Hofstra -4.6 139.8 34% 66–68 ✗
Denver @ Portland +2.7 145.2 59% 90–101 ✓
Texas State @ Texas Southern -2.2 142.0 38% 72–59 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.