The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–23 on winners spread MAE 9.4 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgia State @ Kentucky +27.1 156.1 90% 76–105 ✓
Seattle U @ Duke +20.8 141.8 90% 48–70 ✓
UNLV @ Northwestern +1.9 132.9 60% 61–66 ✓
North Florida @ SIU Edwardsville +1.9 148.1 57% 78–73 ✗
Le Moyne @ Manhattan +6.1 142.2 73% 81–77 ✗
Rice @ Hofstra -1.8 132.8 42% 63–68 ✗
Florida A&M @ Clemson +29.7 146.5 91% 58–86 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UL Monroe +3.3 128.1 53% 68–60 ✗
Towson @ Kennesaw State +1.0 138.7 58% 63–67 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Texas Tech +11.6 157.7 82% 64–89 ✓
Northwestern State @ LSU +12.4 141.2 86% 53–77 ✓
Davidson @ Gonzaga +15.9 156.1 87% 65–90 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Northern Iowa -6.4 136.4 25% 68–56 ✓
Delaware State @ Texas +30.0 141.9 91% 68–90 ✓
Butler @ Mississippi State +6.6 143.8 76% 87–77 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Arizona State -2.4 143.5 45% 64–68 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ UC Santa Barbara +36.3 131.5 91% 48–81 ✓
UC Irvine @ Kent State -5.2 127.9 30% 51–39 ✓
USC @ New Mexico +7.6 150.4 78% 73–83 ✓
Southern @ Louisiana Tech +15.7 144.4 87% 73–70 ✗
Colgate @ Sam Houston +3.4 137.4 66% 78–82 ✓
Monmouth @ Seton Hall +11.6 126.7 72% 63–51 ✗
Chicago State @ Wisconsin +32.1 149.2 91% 53–74 ✓
Creighton @ Notre Dame -0.0 143.6 56% 80–76 ✓
Campbell @ Green Bay +5.4 145.6 65% 72–66 ✗
Northeastern @ Vermont -2.5 130.3 38% 64–68 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Georgia Tech +9.9 153.1 84% 68–87 ✓
Western Carolina @ Marquette +29.5 146.8 91% 62–94 ✓
New Mexico State @ Bowling Green -3.3 141.4 47% 60–61 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Howard +4.1 143.6 59% 79–75 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ East Texas A&M -5.9 145.0 28% 77–57 ✓
Binghamton @ Long Island University +3.1 134.7 57% 75–70 ✗
Navy @ Elon +12.9 145.8 83% 63–69 ✓
Robert Morris @ Ohio +2.2 145.7 46% 68–84 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Coastal Carolina +11.2 141.3 82% 51–73 ✓
Iona @ Indiana State +5.0 144.6 69% 80–83 ✓
Milwaukee @ Southern Miss -1.5 149.4 49% 65–66 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Miami +18.2 148.3 83% 83–79 ✗
Delaware @ Rider +4.8 140.9 65% 72–66 ✗
Nicholls @ Louisiana -0.1 147.9 42% 76–75 ✓
App State @ UNC Wilmington +2.2 133.4 63% 61–76 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Montana State +1.5 153.1 51% 72–69 ✗
Texas A&M @ Rutgers -5.0 150.2 29% 81–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ East Tennessee State +8.4 132.9 77% 57–79 ✓
Houston Christian @ UTSA +6.1 141.2 71% 71–78 ✓
UAlbany @ Georgetown +7.4 137.4 76% 68–100 ✓
Temple @ La Salle +3.5 153.5 69% 75–83 ✓
Weber State @ Pepperdine +0.3 141.9 50% 68–53 ✗
Niagara @ Lafayette +6.5 141.6 69% 47–59 ✓
Maine @ Pennsylvania -8.4 138.3 23% 64–77 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +14.0 166.4 87% 74–109 ✓
Hofstra @ Tarleton State -13.1 130.2 16% 59–61 ✗
UC Riverside @ Idaho -3.1 147.4 42% 68–80 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Utah +22.0 151.0 90% 80–88 ✓
Harvard @ St. John's +23.6 144.6 91% 64–77 ✓
Furman @ Kansas +11.3 140.0 80% 51–86 ✓
Bellarmine @ Northern Kentucky +4.0 133.4 60% 70–86 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Drake +15.5 140.8 85% 47–61 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida Atlantic +9.9 144.3 74% 80–78 ✗
Siena @ Bucknell +1.1 143.1 59% 71–58 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.