Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–13 on winners spread MAE 11.0 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Maryland Eastern Shore @ UConn +28.0 141.8 91% 45–99 ✓
San Diego State @ Houston +8.2 125.8 79% 73–70 ✗
Air Force @ Wright State +11.2 134.0 80% 57–70 ✓
Marist @ Lehigh +0.6 142.2 52% 69–74 ✓
Oakland @ Toledo +7.2 139.8 71% 85–52 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Eastern Michigan +6.3 133.9 67% 98–89 ✗
Arkansas State @ Rice -3.1 141.5 45% 67–75 ✗
Jacksonville @ Georgia +14.7 145.2 87% 56–102 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Pacific +2.3 133.5 66% 55–64 ✓
Kent State @ Kennesaw State -2.6 132.3 36% 67–60 ✓
Marshall @ Western Kentucky +4.5 146.0 74% 82–90 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Omaha +4.3 139.7 59% 71–55 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Sacramento State +8.3 125.7 64% 66–60 ✗
Utah Tech @ Portland State +4.9 149.3 66% 68–71 ✓
Lipscomb @ Alabama A&M -9.0 143.1 21% 82–44 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Southern Utah +2.7 141.4 66% 64–74 ✓
Kansas City @ Southeast Missouri State +3.1 141.1 60% 59–80 ✓
Oregon @ Alabama +2.4 162.0 58% 83–81 ✗
UC Davis @ Oregon State +13.4 135.2 86% 57–90 ✓
Cal Poly @ Stanford +13.4 148.4 87% 97–90 ✗
UC Irvine @ Towson -9.0 130.5 22% 67–60 ✓
Long Island University @ Niagara +0.8 137.7 59% 52–60 ✓
Maine @ Navy -7.2 141.2 23% 71–66 ✓
NJIT @ Massachusetts +15.8 141.2 88% 68–80 ✓
Alcorn State @ Maryland +26.8 139.5 91% 58–96 ✓
Norfolk State @ Stony Brook -7.6 139.8 23% 77–66 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Central Connecticut +2.5 140.8 72% 67–69 ✓
Radford @ Saint Francis -2.4 142.0 34% 79–70 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Fairfield +8.1 141.4 80% 74–78 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Tennessee State +0.1 155.6 43% 92–74 ✗
New Hampshire @ Fordham +10.6 140.7 85% 61–83 ✓
Rice @ Iona -7.2 133.1 25% 70–66 ✓
Buffalo @ Penn State +26.3 160.8 91% 64–87 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Kansas State +23.8 154.8 91% 73–120 ✓
Binghamton @ Lafayette +7.7 132.8 75% 82–81 ✗
Elon @ Pennsylvania -7.2 137.3 30% 68–53 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Troy +4.3 142.6 69% 74–84 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Minnesota +10.8 132.4 82% 62–79 ✓
Missouri State @ Oral Roberts -2.7 150.6 28% 72–67 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UAB +2.9 154.5 60% 76–69 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Stonehill +0.2 139.0 48% 74–88 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Boston University +4.5 135.9 61% 73–65 ✗
California Baptist @ UCF +9.6 153.4 82% 59–74 ✓
North Alabama @ Wofford +3.0 141.5 66% 54–74 ✓
North Florida @ Nebraska +13.8 155.0 87% 72–103 ✓
South Carolina State @ Xavier +16.4 142.3 89% 68–71 ✓
Arkansas State @ Hofstra -5.0 140.3 34% 66–68 ✗
Denver @ Portland +1.7 143.1 60% 90–101 ✓
Texas State @ Texas Southern -3.5 140.0 31% 72–59 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.