What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–24 on winners spread MAE 9.2 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgia State @ Kentucky +26.2 161.8 91% 76–105 ✓
Seattle U @ Duke +18.2 135.7 90% 48–70 ✓
UNLV @ Northwestern +2.2 131.0 64% 61–66 ✓
North Florida @ SIU Edwardsville +2.5 150.5 56% 78–73 ✗
Le Moyne @ Manhattan +4.6 145.0 74% 81–77 ✗
Rice @ Hofstra -1.7 133.8 42% 63–68 ✗
Florida A&M @ Clemson +26.9 146.9 91% 58–86 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UL Monroe +0.0 125.7 37% 68–60 ✗
Towson @ Kennesaw State +0.6 138.6 51% 63–67 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Texas Tech +12.7 153.7 85% 64–89 ✓
Northwestern State @ LSU +16.8 144.0 89% 53–77 ✓
Davidson @ Gonzaga +15.3 154.8 87% 65–90 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Northern Iowa -7.0 135.4 24% 68–56 ✓
Delaware State @ Texas +26.3 141.7 91% 68–90 ✓
Butler @ Mississippi State +6.6 146.2 77% 87–77 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Arizona State -2.6 141.4 38% 64–68 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ UC Santa Barbara +25.1 130.8 91% 48–81 ✓
UC Irvine @ Kent State -5.8 128.1 30% 51–39 ✓
USC @ New Mexico +8.3 148.3 79% 73–83 ✓
Southern @ Louisiana Tech +15.3 144.8 85% 73–70 ✗
Colgate @ Sam Houston +3.6 136.9 67% 78–82 ✓
Monmouth @ Seton Hall +12.8 124.6 72% 63–51 ✗
Chicago State @ Wisconsin +26.3 151.3 91% 53–74 ✓
Creighton @ Notre Dame -0.2 145.2 46% 80–76 ✓
Campbell @ Green Bay +5.3 144.3 51% 72–66 ✗
Northeastern @ Vermont -0.9 130.7 53% 64–68 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Georgia Tech +12.1 154.9 87% 68–87 ✓
Western Carolina @ Marquette +21.6 148.9 90% 62–94 ✓
New Mexico State @ Bowling Green -1.6 140.0 47% 60–61 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Howard +3.2 142.9 63% 79–75 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ East Texas A&M -8.2 142.1 20% 77–57 ✓
Binghamton @ Long Island University +2.2 132.6 58% 75–70 ✗
Navy @ Elon +11.6 146.0 80% 63–69 ✓
Robert Morris @ Ohio +3.2 143.6 61% 68–84 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Coastal Carolina +8.1 139.8 80% 51–73 ✓
Iona @ Indiana State +6.7 145.8 76% 80–83 ✓
Milwaukee @ Southern Miss -3.0 148.0 39% 65–66 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Miami +18.9 146.8 86% 83–79 ✗
Delaware @ Rider +4.1 140.4 59% 72–66 ✗
Nicholls @ Louisiana +0.8 145.2 43% 76–75 ✗
App State @ UNC Wilmington +1.9 135.8 66% 61–76 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Montana State +0.7 149.3 52% 72–69 ✗
Texas A&M @ Rutgers -5.1 148.0 22% 81–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ East Tennessee State +8.4 131.3 76% 57–79 ✓
Houston Christian @ UTSA +8.5 140.5 82% 71–78 ✓
UAlbany @ Georgetown +7.9 136.8 77% 68–100 ✓
Temple @ La Salle +3.4 153.5 71% 75–83 ✓
Weber State @ Pepperdine +0.7 140.0 50% 68–53 ✗
Niagara @ Lafayette +4.8 139.1 67% 47–59 ✓
Maine @ Pennsylvania -7.4 137.4 33% 64–77 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +13.8 163.9 88% 74–109 ✓
Hofstra @ Tarleton State -11.7 128.6 18% 59–61 ✗
UC Riverside @ Idaho -3.1 145.0 37% 68–80 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Utah +17.9 152.2 90% 80–88 ✓
Harvard @ St. John's +22.9 145.0 91% 64–77 ✓
Furman @ Kansas +11.9 139.0 84% 51–86 ✓
Bellarmine @ Northern Kentucky +6.0 133.2 71% 70–86 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Drake +18.5 139.0 89% 47–61 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida Atlantic +13.5 145.0 80% 80–78 ✗
Siena @ Bucknell +1.5 143.2 57% 71–58 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.