We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–12 on winners spread MAE 7.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian -1.0 136.1 46% 78–84 ✗
Jackson State @ Florida A&M +3.4 140.8 69% 60–70 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +6.4 140.0 75% 63–67 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +6.4 154.9 78% 69–72 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota +4.4 132.4 67% 72–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston +3.4 147.7 63% 61–69 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul -0.6 133.6 46% 63–56 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson +3.4 139.6 68% 62–71 ✓
Temple @ Florida Atlantic +2.6 143.5 61% 59–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Oklahoma +5.2 148.3 75% 74–86 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +3.7 154.9 71% 88–95 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +14.5 142.6 87% 84–74 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -2.7 141.9 38% 73–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana -1.9 145.0 39% 77–66 ✓
Massachusetts @ Miami (OH) +7.1 158.8 78% 87–83 ✗
George Washington @ Fordham -5.8 137.0 26% 66–62 ✓
NC State @ Virginia +3.5 147.8 66% 74–81 ✓
Providence @ St. John's +14.0 159.4 87% 72–85 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +0.3 136.5 45% 69–72 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas Tech -3.2 141.9 35% 75–53 ✓
Kentucky @ Missouri -4.1 148.9 32% 78–72 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +1.0 145.9 55% 76–77 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern -0.4 144.2 51% 85–74 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason +3.3 136.8 61% 63–57 ✗
Washington @ Wisconsin +5.0 154.4 72% 82–85 ✓
Louisville @ Miami -4.9 151.0 34% 73–78 ✗
Creighton @ Seton Hall +0.6 134.2 50% 61–72 ✓
UCF @ Arizona +11.7 157.0 86% 59–81 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +8.9 155.5 79% 60–80 ✓
Auburn @ Tennessee +3.9 146.4 69% 62–72 ✓
Buffalo @ Akron +13.0 156.6 86% 70–73 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne -0.4 135.1 50% 61–67 ✗
Nevada @ Grand Canyon +0.6 138.4 53% 84–80 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +5.5 139.8 76% 88–82 ✗
Ohio @ Kent State +3.9 160.9 71% 75–86 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech -2.3 133.4 41% 69–80 ✗
Northwestern @ Purdue +9.1 137.7 83% 68–81 ✓
Florida State @ Duke +14.0 149.4 88% 79–80 ✓
BYU @ Houston +3.9 141.5 71% 66–73 ✓
Xavier @ UConn +12.7 146.4 85% 68–93 ✓
Ole Miss @ Georgia +8.5 160.7 78% 76–72 ✗
Tulane @ Charlotte +1.0 142.6 50% 60–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +7.4 130.0 78% 59–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.