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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–9 on winners spread MAE 6.5 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida A&M @ Jackson State +2.8 145.8 60% 76–91 ✓
Coppin State @ South Carolina State +17.3 138.4 94% 63–68 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +3.9 140.7 64% 62–66 ✓
USC @ Rutgers -1.2 158.3 46% 97–89 ✓
Florida International @ Jacksonville State +7.7 138.0 76% 56–65 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +11.4 145.5 85% 57–74 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara +5.3 143.9 69% 66–71 ✓
Seton Hall @ Villanova +12.6 130.1 87% 55–67 ✓
Oklahoma @ Georgia +2.5 147.2 59% 81–75 ✗
UCF @ Kansas +10.9 156.6 84% 94–98 ✓
Syracuse @ SMU +8.9 160.3 79% 53–73 ✓
Montana @ Northern Colorado +3.5 157.4 63% 91–83 ✗
UT Arlington @ Grand Canyon +8.4 153.8 78% 75–98 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Davis -3.6 155.4 37% 86–76 ✓
Bowling Green @ Akron +11.6 158.0 85% 67–96 ✓
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +2.7 127.7 60% 59–64 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Duke +24.2 144.0 99% 70–78 ✓
Butler @ St. John's +9.7 150.1 81% 57–78 ✓
Indiana @ Oregon +2.4 146.9 59% 59–72 ✓
Iowa State @ BYU -3.1 153.6 39% 92–96 ✗
South Florida @ Wichita State +3.5 146.2 63% 68–73 ✓
Arkansas @ Ole Miss +2.0 147.3 57% 80–83 ✓
Ohio @ Toledo -3.7 164.9 37% 85–90 ✗
Alabama State @ Texas Southern -0.2 143.0 49% 84–79 ✓
Davidson @ Saint Louis +2.5 143.8 59% 75–83 ✓
Northwestern @ Wisconsin +5.6 144.9 69% 63–70 ✓
Marquette @ Xavier -3.6 149.5 37% 89–87 ✓
North Carolina @ Wake Forest -6.5 149.9 28% 68–59 ✓
San José State @ New Mexico +14.5 155.9 91% 52–63 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +9.3 154.7 80% 59–64 ✓
Colorado @ Houston +17.6 129.6 95% 68–77 ✓
Texas @ Texas A&M +4.1 141.6 64% 94–89 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Miami (OH) +7.5 153.7 75% 75–81 ✓
Fordham @ George Washington +7.6 149.6 75% 81–88 ✓
Boise State @ San Diego State -0.4 133.7 49% 62–52 ✓
Morgan State @ Howard +3.5 167.8 63% 91–90 ✗
Manhattan @ Iona -2.0 150.7 43% 65–77 ✗
Iowa @ Illinois +9.6 170.4 81% 94–106 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +10.1 138.8 82% 66–73 ✓
New Mexico State @ Kennesaw State -0.8 137.0 47% 77–80 ✗
Baylor @ Texas Tech +4.9 149.1 67% 74–76 ✓
Stanford @ Louisville +9.4 145.0 80% 73–75 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +6.3 152.5 72% 75–71 ✗
DePaul @ Creighton +10.4 147.6 83% 81–85 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Joseph's +10.8 146.6 84% 70–75 ✓
Mississippi State @ Missouri +2.2 160.6 58% 73–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.