I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–11 on winners spread MAE 7.4 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian -1.9 137.0 41% 78–84 ✗
Jackson State @ Florida A&M +4.8 140.8 69% 60–70 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +5.0 138.7 71% 63–67 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +5.5 152.2 74% 69–72 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota +4.4 132.9 66% 72–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston +4.6 149.5 70% 61–69 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul -0.6 131.2 48% 63–56 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson +3.2 138.7 62% 62–71 ✓
Temple @ Florida Atlantic +2.1 143.1 59% 59–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Oklahoma +6.6 145.7 75% 74–86 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +4.3 151.7 64% 88–95 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +13.7 143.6 87% 84–74 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -1.6 141.8 43% 73–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana -2.1 142.9 40% 77–66 ✓
Massachusetts @ Miami (OH) +9.9 159.5 82% 87–83 ✗
George Washington @ Fordham -6.7 136.7 26% 66–62 ✓
NC State @ Virginia +3.9 152.4 67% 74–81 ✓
Providence @ St. John's +12.5 159.8 88% 72–85 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +0.5 140.0 52% 69–72 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas Tech -3.1 142.7 38% 75–53 ✓
Kentucky @ Missouri -4.6 148.7 32% 78–72 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +1.4 146.2 57% 76–77 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern -0.1 142.5 50% 85–74 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason +4.3 139.1 67% 63–57 ✗
Washington @ Wisconsin +5.9 151.2 70% 82–85 ✓
Louisville @ Miami -3.1 149.6 38% 73–78 ✗
Creighton @ Seton Hall +2.1 130.1 59% 61–72 ✓
UCF @ Arizona +14.3 155.9 87% 59–81 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +8.2 156.5 80% 60–80 ✓
Auburn @ Tennessee +4.3 145.7 65% 62–72 ✓
Buffalo @ Akron +11.8 157.8 85% 70–73 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne +0.0 134.1 51% 61–67 ✓
Nevada @ Grand Canyon +1.3 137.4 54% 84–80 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +7.1 141.1 76% 88–82 ✗
Ohio @ Kent State +3.9 159.7 67% 75–86 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech -2.2 131.0 40% 69–80 ✗
Northwestern @ Purdue +8.8 139.5 80% 68–81 ✓
Florida State @ Duke +16.9 145.9 88% 79–80 ✓
BYU @ Houston +4.8 144.7 67% 66–73 ✓
Xavier @ UConn +13.5 147.1 86% 68–93 ✓
Ole Miss @ Georgia +8.6 156.3 80% 76–72 ✗
Tulane @ Charlotte +1.9 141.7 57% 60–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +8.7 129.1 81% 59–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.