The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–13 on winners spread MAE 9.3 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kansas City @ Creighton — — — 56–79 —
Southern Indiana @ Purdue Fort Wayne +13.4 145.3 86% 74–93 ✓
Bellarmine @ Marshall +8.3 142.8 81% 62–83 ✓
Saint Francis @ Mount St. Mary's +8.0 142.7 80% 58–66 ✓
Holy Cross @ Brown +5.2 140.8 66% 73–65 ✗
Siena @ UAlbany +6.2 140.2 79% 60–70 ✓
Hofstra @ Massachusetts +6.2 142.8 68% 75–71 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ VCU +18.5 135.5 88% 57–83 ✓
North Carolina Central @ William & Mary +3.1 149.0 55% 78–76 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Drake — — — 61–63 —
James Madison @ Towson — — — 63–67 —
Norfolk State @ Hampton -0.5 134.4 39% 67–58 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Tennessee State — — — 71–81 —
Northern Illinois @ Bradley +12.9 141.1 85% 60–76 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Sacramento State -0.9 135.8 31% 79–69 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Saint Louis — — — 71–77 —
Omaha @ Southern Utah — — — 73–79 —
Utah Tech @ Wyoming — — — 69–86 —
Fresno State @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.5 148.4 53% 56–74 ✓
Seattle U @ UC San Diego +7.0 135.8 60% 84–71 ✗
Santa Clara @ Nevada +13.1 143.6 78% 59–85 ✓
Chicago State @ San Francisco +25.2 149.6 90% 37–82 ✓
Pepperdine @ UC Irvine +20.1 145.6 90% 62–80 ✓
New Mexico @ St. John's +5.3 156.4 71% 71–85 ✓
Georgia Southern @ William & Mary -0.8 159.3 48% 87–102 ✗
Canisius @ Western Michigan +4.0 137.4 80% 69–92 ✓
Stonehill @ Lindenwood -5.0 135.3 42% 74–75 ✗
Campbell @ Navy +3.0 135.6 52% 86–66 ✗
Princeton @ Merrimack +0.9 131.2 38% 68–57 ✗
Nebraska @ Saint Mary's -1.3 139.5 42% 74–77 ✗
Clemson @ Boise State +6.6 138.7 71% 71–84 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ The Citadel +5.4 142.6 71% 82–73 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Coastal Carolina +3.2 130.6 51% 71–53 ✗
Manhattan @ Fairleigh Dickinson -0.1 153.0 69% 82–85 ✗
Coppin State @ Miami +26.4 143.8 91% 63–93 ✓
Harvard @ Colorado +16.8 141.8 89% 66–88 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Winthrop +8.2 146.1 82% 75–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ Tennessee +21.7 136.8 89% 68–103 ✓
Texas Southern @ Samford +15.4 156.4 88% 82–97 ✓
Chattanooga @ Southeast Missouri State -0.9 143.8 34% 87–82 ✓
Lipscomb @ Western Kentucky +2.5 145.2 73% 61–66 ✓
New Hampshire @ Holy Cross +8.3 142.2 76% 72–74 ✓
Montana State @ Denver +2.1 141.7 74% 78–79 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Robert Morris +12.5 140.0 87% 62–73 ✓
Utah @ Mississippi State +0.0 157.3 54% 73–78 ✓
Liberty @ Charleston +4.2 144.4 64% 68–47 ✗
UC Davis @ Stanford — — — 65–79 —
UC Santa Barbara @ San José State — — — 64–59 —
Troy @ Oregon +10.7 144.8 83% 61–82 ✓
Sam Houston @ Lamar — — — 85–72 —
Sacred Heart @ Brown +8.1 141.1 73% 70–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.