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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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54–11 on winners spread MAE 9.7 87 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama @ Purdue +5.6 153.5 70% 78–87 ✓
Nicholls @ Cincinnati +19.5 142.6 88% 49–86 ✓
Elon @ Gardner-Webb — — — 79–80 —
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Old Dominion +0.9 149.2 77% 71–73 ✓
Tulane @ Furman +6.2 149.8 76% 67–75 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Charleston +2.2 153.9 62% 116–119 ✓
Belmont @ Air Force -7.4 132.4 25% 79–71 ✓
Lindenwood @ Robert Morris +12.5 142.1 88% 53–67 ✓
Maine @ Quinnipiac +1.1 144.0 63% 55–58 ✓
West Georgia @ South Florida +10.4 143.6 83% 55–74 ✓
Army @ Marist — — — 88–91 —
New Hampshire @ Brown +12.4 140.2 85% 58–76 ✓
UAB @ High Point +8.7 145.5 80% 65–68 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ South Carolina Upstate — — — 89–85 —
Loyola Chicago @ Princeton — — — 73–68 —
Fordham @ Manhattan — — — 76–78 —
Temple @ Boston College -0.4 146.4 63% 69–72 ✗
Vermont @ Iona — — — 59–62 —
SMU @ Butler +0.6 151.2 53% 70–81 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Georgia Southern — — — 75–80 —
Virginia Tech @ Penn State +6.8 145.7 69% 64–86 ✓
American University @ North Carolina +15.8 145.2 87% 55–107 ✓
Marquette @ Maryland +6.9 144.2 45% 78–74 ✗
Ohio @ Memphis +16.2 150.0 87% 70–94 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Northwestern +27.6 145.1 91% 58–67 ✓
Georgia @ Georgia Tech -0.9 154.5 40% 77–69 ✓
West Virginia @ Pittsburgh +13.6 148.3 85% 62–86 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Pennsylvania +1.9 141.7 62% 86–69 ✗
Washington State @ Iowa -2.7 156.1 46% 66–76 ✗
Samford @ North Alabama — — — 97–96 —
UMass Lowell @ Gonzaga — — — 54–113 —
Arizona @ Wisconsin +2.4 154.0 66% 88–103 ✓
Ohio State @ Texas A&M +4.6 138.0 68% 64–78 ✓
Duquesne @ DePaul — — — 58–84 —
Long Island University @ California Baptist +6.4 139.4 82% 77–90 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Oregon State — — — 51–70 —
Lehigh @ UCLA +23.1 135.5 90% 45–85 ✓
NJIT @ Morgan State — — — 69–81 —
Presbyterian @ Kennesaw State — — — 67–85 —
Wofford @ Duke +20.4 142.2 89% 35–86 ✓
Charleston Southern @ VMI +7.6 139.0 76% 69–80 ✓
Lafayette @ Cornell +11.4 142.2 85% 71–81 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Columbia +6.8 138.4 73% 63–77 ✓
Richmond @ Bucknell +8.8 142.6 82% 76–80 ✓
Wagner @ Seton Hall +8.9 107.2 84% 28–54 ✓
Wake Forest @ Xavier +6.7 144.3 74% 60–75 ✓
Youngstown State @ Syracuse +0.8 140.5 59% 95–104 ✓
Dartmouth @ Boston University +2.8 138.9 70% 50–78 ✓
UT Martin @ Longwood +3.2 143.5 80% 62–64 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgetown +1.7 149.7 53% 84–63 ✗
Tulsa @ Missouri State — — — 106–111 —
Radford @ Evansville +4.3 146.3 61% 92–81 ✗
Saint Peter's @ UMBC -1.2 138.9 33% 69–61 ✓
South Carolina State @ Bethune-Cookman +3.4 143.4 70% 62–75 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Western Illinois +7.1 132.1 84% 61–63 ✓
Indiana State @ Ball State +9.1 150.7 61% 94–84 ✗
Stetson @ Oklahoma +19.7 145.9 89% 64–85 ✓
La Salle @ Drexel +4.3 135.6 54% 71–68 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Tennessee Tech -1.5 153.5 44% 83–58 ✓
South Carolina @ Indiana +4.6 147.4 73% 71–87 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Arkansas State — — — 49–59 —
Northwestern State @ Rice +5.9 133.1 85% 75–77 ✓
Jackson State @ Vanderbilt +20.8 148.2 90% 81–94 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Cleveland State +2.6 133.4 74% 63–71 ✓
Idaho State @ San Diego -1.5 135.6 46% 78–66 ✓
Idaho @ BYU +24.4 150.7 91% 71–95 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Canisius -4.2 139.4 31% 76–58 ✓
Texas State @ Abilene Christian — — — 60–72 —
Colorado State @ Ole Miss +2.6 137.2 59% 69–84 ✓
Mercer @ South Alabama — — — 66–75 —
Murray State @ Middle Tennessee — — — 88–67 —
Toledo @ Detroit Mercy -9.0 158.2 24% 82–67 ✓
Le Moyne @ St. Bonaventure +22.3 149.2 91% 52–71 ✓
George Mason @ East Carolina — — — 77–78 —
Little Rock @ UTSA — — — 81–64 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Incarnate Word +13.9 152.2 88% 64–92 ✓
Yale @ Minnesota +1.6 132.9 63% 56–59 ✓
New Hampshire @ Sacred Heart +3.9 145.0 68% 63–80 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Davidson — — — 70–76 —
Georgia Southern @ Winthrop +7.6 149.8 83% 89–87 ✗
Green Bay @ Providence +12.8 143.2 83% 65–79 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Texas +28.7 142.7 91% 43–89 ✓
Portland @ Long Beach State +10.7 137.4 81% 63–61 ✗
Oakland @ Kansas +15.9 134.6 85% 57–78 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Northeastern -0.2 132.2 52% 62–80 ✗
Bowling Green @ Michigan State — — — 72–86 —
Liberty @ Florida Atlantic +2.8 147.8 66% 74–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.