Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–12 on winners spread MAE 9.6 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Santa Clara @ Saint Louis -2.7 146.9 37% 70–71 ✗
Georgetown @ Dayton -0.2 142.2 52% 79–84 ✗
Duke @ Arkansas -10.7 156.9 18% 80–71 ✓
Wichita State @ Colorado State -1.3 138.3 43% 70–76 ✗
Stanford @ Minnesota -0.6 138.8 42% 72–68 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Northwestern +6.7 152.1 76% 86–81 ✗
Virginia Tech @ VCU +3.5 151.8 61% 68–86 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Purdue +27.6 138.5 91% 62–109 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Gardner-Webb -6.6 132.8 21% 76–68 ✓
Northeastern @ Wake Forest +17.5 147.1 88% 73–86 ✓
Illinois @ UConn -0.3 147.4 43% 61–74 ✗
Richmond @ Charlotte -5.1 139.3 30% 71–66 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Vanderbilt +1.5 148.7 60% 71–96 ✓
Longwood @ Siena +5.7 143.6 66% 63–70 ✓
San Francisco @ Nevada -3.1 142.5 44% 65–81 ✗
Indiana State @ Alcorn State -8.7 141.7 18% 74–81 ✗
Cleveland State @ Missouri +24.1 158.4 90% 59–86 ✓
Texas State @ Seattle U +7.7 133.2 77% 52–66 ✓
Southern Utah @ Robert Morris +19.0 147.3 90% 54–61 ✓
Oklahoma @ Marquette -3.9 155.2 41% 75–74 ✓
Monmouth @ Ball State -6.7 132.3 28% 80–73 ✓
Hofstra @ La Salle -4.2 139.6 40% 63–58 ✓
Wright State @ Butler +15.4 147.5 88% 69–94 ✓
Providence @ Florida +8.1 165.5 81% 78–90 ✓
Furman @ Illinois State +5.5 137.2 75% 65–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ Arkansas State +2.3 150.7 61% 80–85 ✓
Nicholls @ Tulane +3.1 146.2 63% 72–82 ✓
Chicago State @ Youngstown State +12.4 143.6 88% 64–87 ✓
Navy @ UNC Wilmington +6.0 135.7 73% 57–87 ✓
Maine @ American University +6.1 136.9 65% 61–74 ✓
NJIT @ Eastern Michigan +11.4 139.9 87% 55–73 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Davidson +8.7 141.6 83% 74–90 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina +17.5 155.2 88% 62–74 ✓
Queens University @ Virginia +17.1 155.5 88% 69–94 ✓
Colorado State @ South Florida +0.1 153.2 54% 83–68 ✗
Washington @ Colorado -0.7 152.4 42% 68–81 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Lehigh -6.9 140.5 27% 72–70 ✓
Le Moyne @ Lafayette +0.2 142.7 60% 76–63 ✗
Merrimack @ Pennsylvania +4.8 147.8 71% 65–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida State +5.8 162.2 68% 95–59 ✗
Wisconsin @ TCU -3.3 151.0 35% 63–74 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Xavier +10.4 138.0 85% 67–88 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Idaho State +2.3 140.3 56% 50–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.