Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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53–20 on winners spread MAE 10.4 73 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Niagara @ Duke +33.9 138.5 91% 42–100 ✓
Merrimack @ Florida +22.8 147.2 90% 45–80 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Kentucky +25.3 150.5 90% 46–88 ✓
Mississippi State @ New Mexico +3.1 144.5 65% 78–80 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Western Illinois +1.6 131.9 46% 84–64 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ West Georgia +5.0 148.2 65% 64–72 ✓
Morehead State @ East Tennessee State +12.3 145.1 85% 62–77 ✓
Wake Forest @ Memphis -6.7 150.7 25% 69–68 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Radford -8.4 140.3 24% 81–73 ✓
UAlbany @ Siena +12.8 129.2 85% 63–73 ✓
Charleston Southern @ East Carolina +5.6 151.9 74% 77–65 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Canisius +2.5 128.7 48% 57–60 ✓
Army @ Marist +16.4 128.7 87% 65–76 ✓
Morgan State @ Old Dominion +5.6 148.3 62% 56–88 ✓
Holy Cross @ Sacred Heart +5.4 136.8 63% 66–79 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Drexel +8.2 144.8 77% 84–68 ✗
Northern Colorado @ St. Thomas -3.8 146.7 38% 72–73 ✗
South Alabama @ UAB +11.7 139.2 83% 72–80 ✓
Jackson State @ Arkansas +32.9 151.2 91% 61–115 ✓
Georgia State @ South Dakota State +9.7 132.6 78% 58–105 ✓
Omaha @ LSU +28.3 154.7 91% 73–99 ✓
Austin Peay @ Tulsa +9.0 137.9 74% 75–84 ✓
Hampton @ Norfolk State +5.2 127.6 68% 60–62 ✓
Little Rock @ Texas State +7.7 130.6 75% 56–65 ✓
Evansville @ Oregon State +5.5 141.7 62% 73–69 ✗
Manhattan @ Texas A&M +13.7 151.2 86% 68–109 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Saint Louis +25.4 156.4 90% 60–91 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Loyola Chicago +3.6 148.8 64% 76–59 ✗
UC Riverside @ San Diego +7.9 143.2 80% 85–71 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Pepperdine +3.2 151.6 65% 63–60 ✗
Denver @ Colorado State +20.9 153.4 86% 83–81 ✗
Northwestern State @ Grand Canyon +18.4 149.6 88% 72–85 ✓
Samford @ New Mexico State +13.6 146.1 84% 72–81 ✓
UC Davis @ Colorado +11.7 149.6 78% 79–95 ✓
Arkansas State @ SMU +17.7 157.8 88% 69–100 ✓
Georgia @ Xavier -15.7 153.1 14% 78–77 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Fresno State +1.3 143.7 56% 76–85 ✓
Texas Tech @ Purdue +0.9 147.5 52% 56–86 ✓
Kansas State @ Nebraska +2.3 156.9 55% 85–86 ✓
Southern @ San José State +6.3 151.6 70% 66–80 ✓
Louisiana @ Santa Clara +24.9 139.6 90% 43–80 ✓
Grambling @ California Baptist +16.8 140.7 87% 59–72 ✓
Montana State @ Long Beach State -1.7 135.9 29% 78–72 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Portland +4.8 145.6 58% 85–103 ✓
Seattle U @ Stanford +10.9 151.7 81% 77–69 ✗
Sacramento State @ California +21.6 148.1 89% 67–91 ✓
Presbyterian @ UCLA +17.3 129.0 84% 46–86 ✓
Wagner @ Georgetown +13.2 143.5 84% 75–92 ✓
NJIT @ Navy +11.7 135.6 85% 70–86 ✓
Fairfield @ Le Moyne +2.2 145.0 54% 97–83 ✗
Harvard @ Boston University -2.0 140.2 42% 74–75 ✗
Long Island University @ Illinois +25.1 154.4 90% 58–98 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Saint Peter's +13.1 148.9 88% 66–68 ✓
Central Michigan @ Marquette +13.1 147.5 85% 71–85 ✓
Cleveland State @ Kent State +15.5 161.6 89% 71–91 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Dayton +23.4 144.2 91% 55–74 ✓
Nicholls @ Oklahoma State +22.7 142.2 90% 81–95 ✓
Green Bay @ Massachusetts +3.4 144.1 66% 79–75 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Binghamton -0.5 128.3 54% 63–52 ✓
Mercer @ Eastern Kentucky +3.0 147.6 59% 95–83 ✗
Providence @ Penn State +4.3 158.9 63% 77–65 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Cal State Bakersfield +16.7 144.0 90% 70–86 ✓
Northeastern @ Duquesne +1.6 144.1 59% 93–86 ✗
Niagara @ Howard -4.4 129.4 39% 70–80 ✗
North Alabama @ Chattanooga +5.4 146.9 70% 57–71 ✓
Southern Indiana @ UIC +8.4 145.3 78% 73–84 ✓
UT Martin @ Prairie View A&M -14.6 148.7 13% 69–68 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Nevada +3.5 156.8 68% 64–77 ✓
Western Carolina @ Lipscomb +3.8 144.2 66% 62–83 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Missouri State -0.3 146.5 47% 67–74 ✗
Iona @ Oregon State -2.6 148.4 43% 91–84 ✓
San Francisco @ Minnesota +2.1 131.1 62% 77–65 ✗
St. Thomas @ Cal State Fullerton -6.7 147.3 26% 80–88 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.