But spirit is something that no one destroys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–16 on winners spread MAE 10.2 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Morgan State @ North Carolina A&T +11.8 155.3 86% 83–86 ✓
Austin Peay @ Morehead State -2.3 140.5 34% 58–63 ✗
Columbia @ Long Island University +0.9 146.6 46% 80–72 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Army +11.7 156.0 87% 70–84 ✓
South Dakota @ Western Michigan -0.5 157.4 39% 80–76 ✓
Elon @ Northern Illinois -1.9 141.5 47% 75–48 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Ball State +5.5 143.6 69% 70–59 ✗
Maine @ Richmond -0.1 132.8 47% 66–70 ✗
Lafayette @ Rhode Island +18.9 150.3 90% 72–86 ✓
New Mexico State @ Dayton +11.7 142.7 81% 53–74 ✓
Coppin State @ George Mason +22.1 135.1 91% 55–93 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Penn State +15.7 161.8 87% 89–102 ✓
Jacksonville @ Virginia Tech +8.0 135.4 75% 74–64 ✗
Iona @ West Virginia +13.3 142.8 86% 43–86 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Kennesaw State +12.3 142.0 87% 78–84 ✓
Towson @ Nicholls +3.6 134.5 63% 70–64 ✗
Southern @ Texas A&M +19.2 147.0 89% 54–71 ✓
Merrimack @ Rutgers +13.6 133.8 87% 63–74 ✓
Southern Miss @ South Dakota State +7.5 152.1 76% 76–101 ✓
Little Rock @ Tulsa +5.8 153.3 72% 71–57 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Murray State +22.8 153.0 90% 61–79 ✓
Jackson State @ Western Kentucky +11.1 144.9 84% 62–79 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Georgetown +1.3 143.9 42% 51–79 ✓
Long Beach State @ Gonzaga +25.6 150.0 91% 41–84 ✓
Illinois @ Alabama -1.0 156.3 46% 87–100 ✗
UC Davis @ Grand Canyon +2.6 151.9 58% 75–68 ✗
Cal Poly @ Arizona State +11.3 147.7 83% 89–93 ✓
UTEP @ UC Santa Barbara +20.5 147.1 91% 79–76 ✗
Pepperdine @ UNLV +10.4 152.8 83% 59–80 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Fresno State +12.0 147.9 87% 83–94 ✓
San José State @ USC +13.3 139.3 87% 68–82 ✓
Norfolk State @ Stanford +12.8 143.2 85% 63–70 ✓
Northern Colorado @ California Baptist +2.3 150.3 52% 79–68 ✗
Idaho State @ UCLA +14.6 129.1 85% 70–84 ✓
James Madison @ UIC +3.4 150.8 66% 99–81 ✗
Ohio @ Middle Tennessee +4.1 145.9 68% 81–83 ✓
Miami @ Drake -4.9 146.0 29% 69–80 ✗
La Salle @ UC San Diego -5.2 140.0 29% 67–72 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Florida Atlantic +2.7 160.4 61% 78–86 ✓
South Florida @ Portland -3.8 140.0 34% 74–68 ✓
East Carolina @ Jacksonville State +1.8 138.8 56% 78–86 ✓
Youngstown State @ Monmouth -5.3 148.3 29% 72–62 ✓
Seton Hall @ VCU +6.0 124.9 77% 69–66 ✗
Bradley @ Texas State -2.9 138.7 37% 82–68 ✓
Robert Morris @ Cornell +6.5 143.9 73% 86–76 ✗
Toledo @ Stetson -12.0 148.5 15% 103–78 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Indiana +16.8 143.9 88% 58–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.